{"title":"2014-21 年尼日利亚的族群暴力：绘图、建模和趋势","authors":"O. Adigun","doi":"10.2979/africonfpeacrevi.13.2.01","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT:This study dissects the patterns and trends of communal violence in Nigeria with the need to watch out for emerging predictors. Using variables like ethno-religious polarization, lootable resources, and climate vulnerability, the article dissects their impacts on the trends of communal violence in Nigeria. Based on data from the Nigerian Security Tracker, Nigeria Watch, and the Federal Ministry of Environment (2014 to 2021), this study uses cluster analyses of the conflicts using maps and tables to analyze the patterns and new dimensions of conflicts. The study found evidence that ethno-religious polarization is a predictor of trends of communal violence in Nigeria. The weakest predictor of communal violence, according to the model, is climate vulnerability in Nigeria.","PeriodicalId":7615,"journal":{"name":"African Conflict & Peacebuilding Review","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Communal Violence in Nigeria, 2014–21: Mapping, Modeling, and Trends\",\"authors\":\"O. Adigun\",\"doi\":\"10.2979/africonfpeacrevi.13.2.01\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"ABSTRACT:This study dissects the patterns and trends of communal violence in Nigeria with the need to watch out for emerging predictors. Using variables like ethno-religious polarization, lootable resources, and climate vulnerability, the article dissects their impacts on the trends of communal violence in Nigeria. Based on data from the Nigerian Security Tracker, Nigeria Watch, and the Federal Ministry of Environment (2014 to 2021), this study uses cluster analyses of the conflicts using maps and tables to analyze the patterns and new dimensions of conflicts. The study found evidence that ethno-religious polarization is a predictor of trends of communal violence in Nigeria. The weakest predictor of communal violence, according to the model, is climate vulnerability in Nigeria.\",\"PeriodicalId\":7615,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"African Conflict & Peacebuilding Review\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-09-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"African Conflict & Peacebuilding Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2979/africonfpeacrevi.13.2.01\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"African Conflict & Peacebuilding Review","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2979/africonfpeacrevi.13.2.01","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
ABSTRACT:This study dissects the patterns and trends of communal violence in Nigeria with the need to watch out of emerging predictors.文章利用民族宗教两极分化、可掠夺资源和气候脆弱性等变量，剖析了它们对尼日利亚社区暴力趋势的影响。根据尼日利亚安全追踪、尼日利亚观察和联邦环境部提供的数据（2014 年至 2021 年），本研究使用地图和表格对冲突进行聚类分析，以分析冲突的模式和新层面。研究发现，有证据表明，民族宗教两极分化是尼日利亚社区暴力趋势的预测因素。根据模型，对族群暴力最弱的预测因素是尼日利亚的气候脆弱性。
Communal Violence in Nigeria, 2014–21: Mapping, Modeling, and Trends
ABSTRACT:This study dissects the patterns and trends of communal violence in Nigeria with the need to watch out for emerging predictors. Using variables like ethno-religious polarization, lootable resources, and climate vulnerability, the article dissects their impacts on the trends of communal violence in Nigeria. Based on data from the Nigerian Security Tracker, Nigeria Watch, and the Federal Ministry of Environment (2014 to 2021), this study uses cluster analyses of the conflicts using maps and tables to analyze the patterns and new dimensions of conflicts. The study found evidence that ethno-religious polarization is a predictor of trends of communal violence in Nigeria. The weakest predictor of communal violence, according to the model, is climate vulnerability in Nigeria.
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