外国干预在延长后卡扎菲时期利比亚冲突中的作用

Abdulrauf El-Geroshi
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摘要

摘要:本简报从财政、后勤和军事支持等方面评估了国际干预在延长利比亚冲突中所起的作用。简报认为,外国干涉利益不一定是利比亚冲突旷日持久的直接原因,但在加强各方在当地的存在方面发挥了重要作用。地区国家在利比亚冲突中表现出不同的利益诉求,包括埃及和阿联酋的利益诉求,它们在意识形态上与哈夫塔尔领导的东线部队保持一致,敌视政治伊斯兰教。相反,卡塔尔和土耳其与西方势力和政治伊斯兰的利益关系则有助于支持该党。因此,无论是支持冲突还是支持和平,国际干预都没有采取统一的立场。这导致国际支持在冲突各方之间分散,造成军事解决冲突的力量失衡。此外,一些外国方面试图破坏和平,对《斯基拉特协定》等调解产生偏见,并通过内部破坏者(如发动的黎波里战争时的哈夫塔尔)散布其目标。
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The Role of Foreign Intervention in Prolonging the Libyan Conflict in the Post-Gaddafi Period
ABSTRACT: This briefing evaluates the role of international intervention in prolonging the Libyan conflict, from financial, logistical, and military support. The briefing concludes that foreign interference interest was not necessarily the direct reason for protracting the Libyan conflict but played an essential role in strengthening the presence of the parties in the field. The regional countries showed different interests related to the Libyan conflict, including the interests of Egypt and the UAE, which harmonized with the eastern side led by Haftar’s forces ideologically in their hostility to political Islam. Conversely, the interests of Qatar and Turkey with the western side and political Islam contributed to supporting this party. Accordingly, the international intervention did not take a unified position, whether supporting conflict or peace. This led to the dispersion of international support between the conflicting parties, creating an imbalance of power to settle the conflict militarily. Moreover, some foreign parties tried to spoil the peace by biasing mediations such as the Skhirat Agreement and broadcasting their goals through internal spoilers, such as Haftar when he started the Tripoli war.
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