危机复原力是确保全球化变革条件下可持续发展的一个因素

Olha Kravchenko, Svitlana M. Shepelenko
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摘要

文章致力于研究全球化转型对经济体系抗危机能力及其可持续发展机遇的影响。研究证实,在全球化转型的条件下,危机复原力不仅作为经济体系的生存因素,而且作为确保可持续发展的因素,都具有特别重要的意义。危机复原力的定义不是危机后恢复到危机前状态的能力,而是适应危机表现形式并确保在新条件下可持续发展的能力。研究表明,全球化变革是目前导致危机的主要因素之一。同时,全球化也使经济体系获得额外的经济利益。研究表明,在全球化条件下,某一领域的进程不可避免地具有普遍性,并影响其他领域的进程和现象。这种关系产生了巨大的压力,以至于往往难以区分纯粹的经济、政治、社会、法律、文化和其他现象和进程。据确定,目前全球经济一体化的步伐明显放缓,直接逆转为专业化程度降低,因此生产和收入增长放缓,通胀压力增大。这表明,在全球化转型的条件下,任何经济体系的危机抵御能力都将取决于单个国家或国家联盟的领导层是承认还是否认这些转型带来的现有脆弱性。经济体系的抗危机能力将以克服、适应和转型的能力为基础。克服能力包括一系列措施,旨在采取短期行动阻止危机发展的负面影响。适应能力包括制定一套措施,主要侧重于国家机构和进程,因为这些机构和进程在未来可能最容易受到危机的表现和后果的影响。转型能力是指经济体系根据外部(全球)环境的变化进行变革的能力,以及将不可预见的情况视为可持续发展的额外机会的能力。经确定,如果经济体系有能力同时克服、适应和转变危机,那么它就有足够的危机复原力,从而能够在全球化转变的条件下建立一个管理可持续发展的闭环。
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CRISIS RESILIENCE AS A FACTOR FOR ENSURING SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CONDITIONS OF GLOBALIZATION TRANSFORMATIONS
The article is devoted to the study of the impact of globalization transformations on the crisis resistance of economic systems and their opportunities for sustainable development. It is substantiated that in the conditions of globalization transformations, crisis resilience acquires special importance not only as a factor of the survival of economic systems, but also of ensuring sustainable development. Crisis resilience is defined not as the ability to return to the pre-crisis state after a crisis, but as the ability to adapt to crisis manifestations and ensure sustainable development in new conditions. It is shown that globalization transformations are now one of the main factors leading to crises. At the same time, globalization allows economic systems to obtain additional economic benefits. It is shown that in the conditions of globalization, the processes that take place in one of the spheres inevitably acquire a general character, influencing the processes and phenomena in other spheres. Such a relationship exerts such significant pressure that it is often difficult to distinguish purely economic, political, social, legal, cultural and other phenomena and processes. It was determined that there is now a significant slowdown in the pace of global economic integration, a direct reversal to less specialization, and, as a result, a slowdown in the growth of production and incomes, as well as an increase in inflationary pressure. It is shown that in the conditions of globalization transformations, the crisis resistance of any economic system will be determined by whether the leadership of individual countries or commonwealths of countries recognizes the existing vulnerability to these transformations or denies it. The crisis resilience of the economic system will be based on the capacity to overcome, adapt and transform. The capacity to overcome includes a set of measures that are aimed at short-term actions to stop the negative consequences of the developing crisis. The capacity for adapt involves the formation of a set of measures, mainly focused on state institutions and processes, which in the future may turn out to be the most vulnerable to the manifestations and consequences of crises. The capacity to transform is the capabilities of the economic system to change in accordance with the transformations taking place in the external (global) environment, and to perceive unforeseen circumstances as an additional chance for sustainable development. It was determined that the economic system will be sufficiently crisis resilience if it has the capacity to overcome, adapt and transform at the same time, which will allow to create a closed loop of managing sustainable development in the conditions of globalization transformations.
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