采用人工神经网络和循环神经网络方法预测食盐产量

Miftahul Walid, Dini Fajariyah, Hozairi Hozairi, Budi Satria
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引用次数: 0

摘要

苏美内普是马都拉的产盐区之一,共有 27 个分区,其中 11 个分区为产盐区,池塘总面积达 2,077.12 公顷。一般情况下,人们只在特定的月份种植盐,因为盐的生产只能在特定的月份进行,并取决于天气和土地面积等多种因素。针对存在的问题,本研究采用深度学习方法,即人工神经网络(ANN)和简单循环神经网络(SimpleRNN)来预测盐产量。天气数据作为输入,盐产量数据作为输出,数据取自过去 6 年(2017-2022 年)。模型训练的准确率值被用作预测的比较。训练数据和测试数据的划分过程也以 80%:20% 的比例进行。此外,两种方法各进行了 6 次训练,因此两种方法的训练产生了不同的准确度值。ANN 模型的准确率为 53%,而 Simple RNN 的准确率为 71%。根据得出的准确率值,如果使用的数据量较大,那么与 ANN 相比,该基础案例研究适合使用 SimpleRNN 算法模型。
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IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK AND RECURRENT NEURAL NETWORK METHODS TO PREDICT THE AMOUNT OF SALT PRODUCTION
Sumenep is one of the salt-producing regencies in Madura with 27 sub-districts where 11 sub-districts are salt producers which have a total area of 2,077.12 ha of ponds. Generally, people only cultivate salt in certain months because this salt production can only be done and depends on several factors, such as weather and land area. From the existing problems, this research was conducted using a Deep Learning approach, namely Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Simple Recurrent Neural Network (SimpleRNN) to predict the amount of salt production. Weather data as input and salt production data as output taken from the last 6 years (2017-2022). The accuracy value in model training was used as a comparison to make predictions. the process of dividing training and testing data was also carried out with a ratio of 80%:20%. Furthermore, both methods was given 6 trainings each, so that the training of the two methods produces a different accuracy value. The ANN model produces an accuracy value of 53% and 71% for Simple RNN. Based on the resulting accuracy value, this base cased study is suitable for using the SimpleRNN algorithm model compared to ANN, provided that the amount of data used is large-scale
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