南非人寿保险公司盈利能力的决定因素:来自动态面板阈值估计技术的新证据

IF 2.7 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS International Journal of Emerging Markets Pub Date : 2024-01-04 DOI:10.1108/ijoem-08-2022-1225
Sylvester Senyo Horvey, Jones Odei-Mensah, Albert Mushai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的保险公司在每个经济体中都发挥着重要作用;因此,调查和了解推动其盈利能力的因素至关重要。与以往呈现线性关系的研究不同,本研究通过探讨南非人寿保险公司盈利能力决定因素的非线性影响提供了初步证据。 设计/方法/途径本研究使用了南非 62 家人寿保险公司的面板数据集,涵盖 2013-2019 年。研究结果直接关系的实证结果显示,投资收益和偿付能力可显著预测寿险公司的盈利能力。另一方面,承保风险、再保险和规模降低了盈利能力。此外,动态面板阈值分析也证实了两者之间的非线性关系。结果表明,保险规模、投资收益和偿付能力在超过临界值后会促进盈利能力,这意味着在较高水平上会对寿险公司的盈利能力产生推动作用。在临界值以下,这些因素会产生不利影响。研究进一步指出,当承保风险、再保险和杠杆率超过临界水平时,它们对寿险公司盈利能力的影响就会减弱。该研究还建议,有效控制承保风险对寿险业的盈利能力至关重要。原创性/价值该研究通过探讨南非的门槛效应,首次为寿险公司盈利能力的决定因素提供了证据,从而为相关文献做出了贡献。
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The determinants of life insurance companies profitability in South Africa: new evidence from a dynamic panel threshold estimation technique

Purpose

Insurance companies play a significant role in every economy; hence, it is essential to investigate and understand the factors that propel their profitability. Unlike previous studies that present a linear relationship, this study provides initial evidence by exploring the non-linear impacts of the determinants of profitability amongst life insurers in South Africa.

Design/methodology/approach

The study uses a panel dataset of 62 life insurers in South Africa, covering 2013–2019. The generalised method of moments and the dynamic panel threshold estimation technique were used to estimate the relationship.

Findings

The empirical results from the direct relationship reveal that investment income and solvency significantly predict life insurance companies' profitability. On the other hand, underwriting risk, reinsurance and size reduce profitability. Further, the dynamic panel threshold analysis confirms non-linearities in the relationships. The results show that insurance size, investment income and solvency promote profitability beyond a threshold level, implying a propelling effect on life insurers' profitability at higher levels. Below the threshold, these factors have an adverse effect. The study further points to underwriting risk, reinsurance and leverage having a reduced effect on life insurers' profitability when they fall above the threshold level.

Practical implications

The findings suggest that insurers interested in boosting their profit position must commit more resources to maintain their solvency and manage their assets and returns on investment. The study further recommends that effective control of underwriting risk is critical to the profitability of the life insurance industry.

Originality/value

The study contributes to the literature by providing first-time evidence on the determinants of life insurance companies' profitability by way of exploring threshold effects in South Africa.

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CiteScore
5.90
自引率
14.80%
发文量
206
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