从快速风险到缓慢风险:肯尼亚洛德瓦勒与洪水有关的移民脆弱性的转变

IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1016/j.crm.2024.100584
Marina Korzenevica , Philemon Ong'ao Ng'asike , Mary Ngikadelio , Didymus Lokomwa , Peter Ewoton , Ellen Dyer
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候多变性或气候变化引发的迁移往往是一个问题,但几乎是不可避免的适应措施,特别是由于自然灾害日益严重。人们对如何协商搬迁以及如何评估不同规模的风险仍然知之甚少。我们讨论了风险的时间性和复杂性,这些风险是通过社会空间差异的交叉体现来体验和处理的(Sultana,2020 年)。本研究基于在肯尼亚最贫困的图尔卡纳县半干旱且快速发展的小城镇洛德瓦开展的两项与洪水有关的定性案例研究。我们提出了 "快速风险 "和 "缓慢风险 "两种类型,以了解不同相关人员的不同战略、谈判和优先事项。由于政治上的抽象性,三个主要的缓慢风险没有得到解决:土地、水和收入。因此,脆弱性在不同范围内加深和转移:沿着性别和健全轴,妇女,尤其是寡妇、老年人、病人和单身母亲承受着主要的困难;同时,在社区之间,危险风险被故意转移到政治上不太富裕的社区。我们认为,在谈判过程中,人们一直在积极倡导、努力管理和重新思考他们的缓慢风险。他们经常采取缓慢的应对措施,特别是以等待和重新想象的形式。
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From fast to slow risks: Shifting vulnerabilities of flood-related migration in Lodwar, Kenya

Migration triggered by climate variability or climate change is often a problematic yet nearly unavoidable adaptation measure, particularly due to the increasing severity of natural hazards. How relocation is negotiated, and risks are evaluated at different scales are still poorly understood. We discuss the temporality and complexity of risks, that are experienced and approached through socio-spatial differences of intersectional embodiment (Sultana, 2020). The study is based on two flood-related qualitative case studies in the small semi-arid and rapidly growing town of Lodwar in the poorest county of Kenya, Turkana. We propose the typology of fast and slow risks to understand the different strategies, negotiations, and priorities of different people involved. Due to political abstraction, three main slow risks were not addressed: concerning land, water, and income. Consequently, vulnerabilities deepened and shifted at different scales: along the axes of gender and able-bodiedness as women and particularly widows, ageing, sick, and single mothers were bearing the main hardship; but also, between communities as hazard risks were deliberately shifted onto a politically less affluent community. We argue that in the process of negotiations, people have been actively advocating for, trying to manage, and rethinking their slow risks. They have often been employing slow responses, particularly in the form of waiting and reimagining.

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来源期刊
Climate Risk Management
Climate Risk Management Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
8.20
自引率
4.50%
发文量
76
审稿时长
30 weeks
期刊介绍: Climate Risk Management publishes original scientific contributions, state-of-the-art reviews and reports of practical experience on the use of knowledge and information regarding the consequences of climate variability and climate change in decision and policy making on climate change responses from the near- to long-term. The concept of climate risk management refers to activities and methods that are used by individuals, organizations, and institutions to facilitate climate-resilient decision-making. Its objective is to promote sustainable development by maximizing the beneficial impacts of climate change responses and minimizing negative impacts across the full spectrum of geographies and sectors that are potentially affected by the changing climate.
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