研究超速相关碰撞事故中影响驾驶员受伤严重程度的因素:跨驾驶员年龄组的比较研究。

IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion Pub Date : 2024-06-01 Epub Date: 2024-01-08 DOI:10.1080/17457300.2023.2300458
Chamroeun Se, Thanapong Champahom, Sajjakaj Jomnonkwao, Vatanavongs Ratanavaraha
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文通过比较不同驾驶员年龄组,研究了影响单车超速相关碰撞事故中驾驶员受伤严重程度的因素。本研究采用随机阈值随机参数分层有序概率模型,分析了泰国 2012 年至 2017 年间的碰撞事故数据。研究结果表明,年轻驾驶员在驾驶乘用车或皮卡超速行驶时面临更高的死亡风险,这暗示了经验不足和冒险行为的作用。老司机超速行驶的死亡风险增加,尤其是在雨天、平整的中间道路和晚高峰时段,这归因于反应时间缩短和易受恶劣天气影响。在恶劣天气条件下,年轻和老年驾驶员在缺乏护栏的路段超速行驶时面临的死亡风险都会增加,而老年驾驶员在雨天条件下尤其容易受到影响。所有年龄组的驾驶员在中间护栏道路上超速行驶时死亡风险都会升高,这突出表明了超速行驶的重要作用,因为超速行驶会增加碰撞的影响,限制误差范围和机动性,从而强调了采取以驾驶员行为为重点的安全措施的必要性。这些研究结果突出表明,必须采取干预措施,不仅要解决驾驶员的行为问题,还要解决道路基础设施问题,共同致力于降低与超速有关的碰撞事故的严重程度。
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Examining factors affecting driver injury severity in speeding-related crashes: a comparative study across driver age groups.

This paper investigates the factors influencing the severity of driver injuries in single-vehicle speeding-related crashes, by comparing different driver age groups. This study employed a random threshold random parameter hierarchical ordered probit model and analysed crash data from Thailand between 2012 and 2017. The findings showed that young drivers face a heightened fatality risk when speeding in passenger cars or pickup trucks, hinting at the role of inexperience and risk-taking behaviours. Old drivers exhibit an increased fatality risk when speeding, especially in rainy conditions, on flush median roads, and during evening peak hours, attributed to reduced reaction times and vulnerability to adverse weather. Both young and elderly drivers face escalated fatality risks when speeding on road segments lacking guardrails during adverse weather, with older drivers being particularly vulnerable in rainy conditions. All age groups show an elevated fatality risk when speeding on barrier median roads, underscoring the significant role of speeding, which increases crash impact and limits margins of error and manoeuvrability, thereby highlighting the need for safety measures focusing on driver behaviour. These findings underscore the critical imperative for interventions addressing not only driver conduct but also road infrastructure, collectively striving to curtail the severity of speeding-related crashes.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
13.00%
发文量
48
期刊介绍: International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion (formerly Injury Control and Safety Promotion) publishes articles concerning all phases of injury control, including prevention, acute care and rehabilitation. Specifically, this journal will publish articles that for each type of injury: •describe the problem •analyse the causes and risk factors •discuss the design and evaluation of solutions •describe the implementation of effective programs and policies The journal encompasses all causes of fatal and non-fatal injury, including injuries related to: •transport •school and work •home and leisure activities •sport •violence and assault
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