气候变化、压力和农民的适应能力:匈牙利的经验证据

IF 3.1 3区 农林科学 Q1 HORTICULTURE Horticulturae Pub Date : 2024-01-06 DOI:10.3390/horticulturae10010056
József Lennert, Katalin Kovács, B. Koós, Nigel Swain, Csaba Bálint, Eszter Hamza, Gábor Király, Katalin Rácz, M. Váradi, András Donát Kovács
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文旨在全面分析匈牙利农业部门,特别是水果、蔬菜和葡萄生产者的气候暴露、敏感性、感知、适应能力、脆弱性和复原力。研究考察了四项不同的匈牙利案例研究,它们代表了环境和社会经济条件各不相同的不同地区。研究结合了定量和定性方法,包括对气候、农业和社会经济数据进行统计和地理信息系统分析,以及实地调查和半结构式访谈。研究调查了暴露程度、敏感性、感知和适应性,从而确定了关键要素和影响因素。定性研究显示,在相同的监管和支持环境下,地理位置相近的农场可能具有不同的适应能力。在当前的适应过程中,农民能够在多大程度上依靠支持性的专业网络并寻求和采用新的做法至关重要。实地经验表明,如果没有一个强大的、支持性的生产者组织(推广网络),农民可能更愿意采用扩大规模(植树造林)的方式来降低生产风险。从发展政策的角度来看,值得通过现有的地方部门组织介绍良好做法并提供有关可能的适应技术的信息。
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Climate Change, Pressures, and Adaptation Capacities of Farmers: Empirical Evidence from Hungary
This paper aims to analyze comprehensively the climate exposure, sensitivity, perception, adaptive capacity, vulnerability, and resilience of the Hungarian agricultural sector, particularly focusing on fruit, vegetable, and grape producers. Four distinct Hungarian case studies were examined, representing different regions with diverse environmental and socioeconomic conditions. The research combined quantitative and qualitative methods, including statistical and GIS analysis of climate, agricultural, and socioeconomic data, as well as field research and semi-structured interviews. The study investigated exposure, sensitivity, perception, and adaptation, leading to the identification of key components and influencing factors. Qualitative research revealed that farms operating in geographically close proximity, in the same regulatory and support environment, can have different adaptive capacities. In the current state of the adaptation process, the extent to which farmers can rely on supportive professional networks and seek out and adopt new practices is crucial. Field experience suggests that without a strong and supportive producer organization (extension network), farmers may prefer to resort to extensification (afforestation) to mitigate production risks. From a development policy perspective, it is worthwhile to present good practices and provide information on possible adaptation techniques through existing local sectoral organizations.
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来源期刊
Horticulturae
Horticulturae HORTICULTURE-
CiteScore
3.50
自引率
19.40%
发文量
998
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