24 家以通货膨胀为目标的中央银行的货币政策新闻稿--主要特点和复杂性比较

IF 1.7 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI:10.2478/jcbtp-2024-0010
Piotr Szczerba, Anna Wojtyniak, Joanna Niedźwiedzińska, Wojciech Bogdanowicz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要 本文介绍了构建一个数据集的过程,该数据集收录了一直奉行某种形式的通货膨胀目标制的中央银行发布的与货币政策决策相关的可用在线新闻稿。由于回顾了过去 30 年中 24 家中央银行的情况,因此共考虑了 3,807 份文件。为了对数据集进行文本挖掘分析,我们对数据集进行了清理,并对清理过程进行了详细介绍。下一步是研究文件的可读性,以发现其变化的任何模式。我们发现,虽然中央银行之间存在显著差异,但货币政策新闻稿的可读性并没有明显的时间趋势,也就是说,一些中央银行的新闻稿往往比其他中央银行的新闻稿更容易阅读,而这一点并没有随着时间的推移而改变。反过来,有一个微弱的迹象表明,在全球金融危机爆发和欧洲主权债务危机达到顶峰之后,以及在撤回为应对这两个紧急情况而推出的非常规措施时,发达经济体通胀目标国的新闻稿暂时变得更难阅读。总体而言,本文可被视为对中央银行透明度进行定性评估的首次尝试,涉及通胀目标国的主要沟通工具,即其货币政策新闻稿。
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Monetary Policy Press Releases of 24 Inflation Targeting Central Banks – A Comparison of their Key Features and Complexity
Abstract This paper describes the process of constructing a dataset of available online press releases related to monetary policy decisions published by central banks that have been pursuing a form of inflation targeting. A total of 3,807 documents were considered, as the review encompasses 24 central banks over the past 30 years. To prepare the dataset for text-mining analysis, a cleaning procedure has been performed, which is also presented in detail. The next step was to look at the readability of the documents in order to detect any patterns in its changes. We find that while there is a significant variation between central banks, there is no clear time trend in the readability of the monetary policy press releases, i.e. some central banks tend to have easier-to-read press releases than others, and this does not change with time. In turn, there is a weak indication that following the Global Financial Crisis outbreak and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis apogee, as well as at the time of withdrawing unconventional measures introduced in response to those two emergencies, press releases of advanced economy inflation targeters got temporarily harder-to-read. Overall, this paper can be viewed as a first attempt towards assessing qualitatively central banks’ transparency, with respect to a flagship communication tool of inflation targeters, namely their monetary policy press releases.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
57.10%
发文量
31
审稿时长
7 weeks
期刊介绍: Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice is a scientific journal dedicated to publishing quality papers and disseminating original, relevant and applicable economic research. Scientific and professional papers that are published in the Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice cover theoretical and practical aspects of central banking, monetary policy, including the supervision issues, as well as banking and management in central banks. The purpose of the journal is to educate the general public about the key issues that the central bankers globally face, as well as about contemporary research and achievements in the field of central banking theory and practice.
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