能源对气候和经济稳定的影响:塞尔维亚预测

IF 1.7 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI:10.2478/jcbtp-2024-0009
Nemanja Backović, Miomir Jakšić, Bojan Ilić
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要 在能源公司的现代商业环境条件下,研究其对环境保护的影响变得越来越重要。在宏观层面上,人们越来越关注能源生产导致的气候变化,这是有道理的。能源实体业务中的生态要素正成为能源可持续发展的优先事项,因此必须对其进行深入研究。本文的重点是以塞尔维亚共和国为例,确定能源通过温室气体排放对气候变化的影响。本文还研究了国家层面的主要经济指标与能源指标之间的长期相互依存关系。研究使用了 IPAT/Kaya 身份,并制定了塞尔维亚 2050 年前能源发展的三种备选方案。研究结果表明了能源发展的不同可能性及其对气候的影响。通过提出的替代方案,还指出了推广可再生能源对环境保护和整体经济稳定的重要性。对观察期内能源强度水平的预测取得了重要结果,表明塞尔维亚的能源发展如何影响 2050 年前的经济稳定。
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The Impact of Energy on Climate and Economic Stability: Forecast for Serbia
Abstract In the conditions of modern business environment of energy companies, studies of their impact on environmental protection are becoming increasingly important. The growing concern at the macro level of the resulting climate change due to energy production is justified. The ecological component in the business of energy entities is becoming a priority for the sustainable development of energy, and therefore must be thoroughly examined. The focus of this paper is to determine the impact of energy on climate change through the emission of Greenhouse Gases on the example of the Republic of Serbia. The paper also examines the long-term interdependence between key economic and energy indicators at the national level. The IPAT/Kaya identity was used for research purposes and three alternative scenarios of energy development in Serbia until year 2050 were developed. The obtained results point to different possibilities for the development of energy and its impact on climate. The importance of promoting renewable energy sources for environmental protection and overall economic stability is also pointed out through proposed alternative scenarios. Significant results were obtained for the predicted level of energy intensity for the observed period, suggesting how the development of energy in Serbia could affect economic stability until 2050.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
57.10%
发文量
31
审稿时长
7 weeks
期刊介绍: Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice is a scientific journal dedicated to publishing quality papers and disseminating original, relevant and applicable economic research. Scientific and professional papers that are published in the Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice cover theoretical and practical aspects of central banking, monetary policy, including the supervision issues, as well as banking and management in central banks. The purpose of the journal is to educate the general public about the key issues that the central bankers globally face, as well as about contemporary research and achievements in the field of central banking theory and practice.
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