条件极值标准化的一些好处

IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Stat Pub Date : 2024-01-14 DOI:10.1002/sta4.647
Christian Rohrbeck, Jonathan A. Tawn
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引用次数: 0

摘要

极值方法有别于标准统计模型的一个重要方面,是通过渐近理论为用于外推的模型的性质提供理论依据。在多变量极值中,已经提出了许多不同的渐近理论,部分原因是向量随机变量缺乏有序性。其中一类多变量模型以条件极限理论为基础,当一个变量变得极端时,得到了广泛的实际应用。这种方法的基础价值得到了极限关系的进一步理论描述的支持。然而,霍尔格-德雷斯(Holger Drees)和安雅-扬森(Anja Janßen)的论文《条件极值模型:谬误与陷阱》对这些结果提出了许多反例。本文在条件极值框架下对这些反例进行了研究,该框架涉及对常见指数衰减尾边际分布的边际标准化。我们的计算表明,所发现的一些问题可以用这种方法来解决。
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Some benefits of standardisation for conditional extremes
A key aspect where extreme values methods differ from standard statistical models is through having asymptotic theory to provide a theoretical justification for the nature of the models used for extrapolation. In multivariate extremes, many different asymptotic theories have been proposed, partly as a consequence of the lack of ordering property with vector random variables. One class of multivariate models, based on conditional limit theory as one variable becomes extreme has received wide practical usage. The underpinning value of this approach has been supported by further theoretical characterisations of the limiting relationships. However, the paper “Conditional extreme value models: fallacies and pitfalls” by Holger Drees and Anja Janßen provides a number of counterexamples to these results. This paper studies these counterexamples in a conditional extremes framework which involves marginal standardisation to a common exponentially decaying tailed marginal distribution. Our calculations show that some of the issues identified can be addressed in this way.
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来源期刊
Stat
Stat Decision Sciences-Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
85
期刊介绍: Stat is an innovative electronic journal for the rapid publication of novel and topical research results, publishing compact articles of the highest quality in all areas of statistical endeavour. Its purpose is to provide a means of rapid sharing of important new theoretical, methodological and applied research. Stat is a joint venture between the International Statistical Institute and Wiley-Blackwell. Stat is characterised by: • Speed - a high-quality review process that aims to reach a decision within 20 days of submission. • Concision - a maximum article length of 10 pages of text, not including references. • Supporting materials - inclusion of electronic supporting materials including graphs, video, software, data and images. • Scope - addresses all areas of statistics and interdisciplinary areas. Stat is a scientific journal for the international community of statisticians and researchers and practitioners in allied quantitative disciplines.
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