分析媒体意识在结膜炎传播中的作用的新型分数阶随机流行病模型

Shiv Mangal , Ebenezer Bonyah , Vijay Shankar Sharma , Y. Yuan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究引入了一个新颖的分数阶随机流行病模型来分析结膜炎(一种流行的眼部感染)的传播,同时考虑到媒体意识对疾病传播的影响。该模型纳入了分数导数,以捕捉流行病过程中固有的记忆效应和非局部相互作用,从而更准确地呈现疾病的动态变化。本文基于基本繁殖数ℛ0 和分数阶数 α 对平衡点的稳定性进行了分析。随机性说明了传输事件的随机性。本研究的结果为疾病动态与媒体影响之间复杂的相互关系提供了见解,揭示了公众意识在缓解或加剧结膜炎爆发中的作用。这项工作的意义延伸到公共卫生政策的制定,强调了有针对性的传播策略在控制和预防结膜炎及类似传染病传播方面的重要性。
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A novel fractional-order stochastic epidemic model to analyze the role of media awareness in the spread of conjunctivitis

This study introduces a novel fractional-order stochastic epidemic model to analyze the spread of conjunctivitis, a prevalent ocular infection, while accounting for the influence of media awareness on disease transmission. The model incorporates fractional derivatives to capture memory effects and non-local interactions inherent in epidemic processes, allowing for a more accurate representation of disease dynamics. The stability analysis of equilibrium points is carried out based on the basic reproduction number 0 and fractional-order α. Further, the Hopf bifurcation phenomenon is discussed in this paper. Stochasticity accounts for the randomness in transmission events. The findings of this study provide insights into the complex interrelationship between disease dynamics and media influence, shedding light on the role of public awareness in mitigating or exacerbating conjunctivitis outbreaks. The implications of this work extend to public health policy formulation, highlighting the importance of targeted communication strategies in controlling and preventing the spread of conjunctivitis and similar infectious diseases.

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来源期刊
Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)
Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.) Applied Mathematics, Modelling and Simulation, Nursing and Health Professions (General)
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
79 days
期刊最新文献
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