{"title":"分析媒体意识在结膜炎传播中的作用的新型分数阶随机流行病模型","authors":"Shiv Mangal , Ebenezer Bonyah , Vijay Shankar Sharma , Y. Yuan","doi":"10.1016/j.health.2024.100302","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study introduces a novel fractional-order stochastic epidemic model to analyze the spread of conjunctivitis, a prevalent ocular infection, while accounting for the influence of media awareness on disease transmission. The model incorporates fractional derivatives to capture memory effects and non-local interactions inherent in epidemic processes, allowing for a more accurate representation of disease dynamics. The stability analysis of equilibrium points is carried out based on the basic reproduction number <span><math><msub><mrow><mi>ℛ</mi></mrow><mrow><mn>0</mn></mrow></msub></math></span> and fractional-order <span><math><mi>α</mi></math></span>. Further, the Hopf bifurcation phenomenon is discussed in this paper. Stochasticity accounts for the randomness in transmission events. The findings of this study provide insights into the complex interrelationship between disease dynamics and media influence, shedding light on the role of public awareness in mitigating or exacerbating conjunctivitis outbreaks. The implications of this work extend to public health policy formulation, highlighting the importance of targeted communication strategies in controlling and preventing the spread of conjunctivitis and similar infectious diseases.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":73222,"journal":{"name":"Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)","volume":"5 ","pages":"Article 100302"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772442524000042/pdfft?md5=38829598f690a40a705f819fef29eef9&pid=1-s2.0-S2772442524000042-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A novel fractional-order stochastic epidemic model to analyze the role of media awareness in the spread of conjunctivitis\",\"authors\":\"Shiv Mangal , Ebenezer Bonyah , Vijay Shankar Sharma , Y. Yuan\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.health.2024.100302\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>This study introduces a novel fractional-order stochastic epidemic model to analyze the spread of conjunctivitis, a prevalent ocular infection, while accounting for the influence of media awareness on disease transmission. The model incorporates fractional derivatives to capture memory effects and non-local interactions inherent in epidemic processes, allowing for a more accurate representation of disease dynamics. The stability analysis of equilibrium points is carried out based on the basic reproduction number <span><math><msub><mrow><mi>ℛ</mi></mrow><mrow><mn>0</mn></mrow></msub></math></span> and fractional-order <span><math><mi>α</mi></math></span>. Further, the Hopf bifurcation phenomenon is discussed in this paper. Stochasticity accounts for the randomness in transmission events. The findings of this study provide insights into the complex interrelationship between disease dynamics and media influence, shedding light on the role of public awareness in mitigating or exacerbating conjunctivitis outbreaks. The implications of this work extend to public health policy formulation, highlighting the importance of targeted communication strategies in controlling and preventing the spread of conjunctivitis and similar infectious diseases.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":73222,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)\",\"volume\":\"5 \",\"pages\":\"Article 100302\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-01-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772442524000042/pdfft?md5=38829598f690a40a705f819fef29eef9&pid=1-s2.0-S2772442524000042-main.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772442524000042\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772442524000042","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
A novel fractional-order stochastic epidemic model to analyze the role of media awareness in the spread of conjunctivitis
This study introduces a novel fractional-order stochastic epidemic model to analyze the spread of conjunctivitis, a prevalent ocular infection, while accounting for the influence of media awareness on disease transmission. The model incorporates fractional derivatives to capture memory effects and non-local interactions inherent in epidemic processes, allowing for a more accurate representation of disease dynamics. The stability analysis of equilibrium points is carried out based on the basic reproduction number and fractional-order . Further, the Hopf bifurcation phenomenon is discussed in this paper. Stochasticity accounts for the randomness in transmission events. The findings of this study provide insights into the complex interrelationship between disease dynamics and media influence, shedding light on the role of public awareness in mitigating or exacerbating conjunctivitis outbreaks. The implications of this work extend to public health policy formulation, highlighting the importance of targeted communication strategies in controlling and preventing the spread of conjunctivitis and similar infectious diseases.