旅游业风险和不确定性偏好的稳定性

IF 10.4 1区 管理学 Q1 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM Annals of Tourism Research Pub Date : 2024-01-20 DOI:10.1016/j.annals.2024.103726
Vladimír Baláž , Jason Li Chen , Allan M. Williams , Gang Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文对旅行领域风险偏好的稳定性以及危机期间重大生活事件对这些偏好的影响进行了新颖的纵向分析。在 COVID-19 期间进行的四波调查分析表明,大多数风险偏好具有很强的跨时空稳定性。与情景风险偏好相比,它还揭示了旅行中一般风险特征以及风险和不确定性容忍度的更大稳定性。我们采用了一种创新性的多时段差异分析方法,来研究因大流行病而在经济上遭受重创的个人的振荡风险偏好。结果表明,随着时间的推移,他们对情景风险和不确定性的容忍度越来越高。了解到大流行病的负面影响是可以协商的,这在改变风险偏好方面起到了关键作用。
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Stability of risk and uncertainty preferences in tourism

This paper provides a novel longitudinal analysis of the stability of risk preferences in the travel domain, and how these are impacted by major life events during a crisis. Analysis of a four-wave survey during COVID-19 demonstrates strong inter-temporal stability of most risk preferences. It also reveals greater stability of generic risk traits and risk and uncertainty tolerance in travel compared to situational risk preferences. An innovative difference-in-differences with multiple time periods analysis is undertaken to examine the oscillating risk preferences of individuals hit hard financially by the pandemic. It reveals they become more tolerant of situational risk and uncertainty over time. Learning that the negative consequences of the pandemic are negotiable plays a key role in changing risk preferences.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
19.10
自引率
9.10%
发文量
135
审稿时长
42 days
期刊介绍: The Annals of Tourism Research is a scholarly journal that focuses on academic perspectives related to tourism. The journal defines tourism as a global economic activity that involves travel behavior, management and marketing activities of service industries catering to consumer demand, the effects of tourism on communities, and policy and governance at local, national, and international levels. While the journal aims to strike a balance between theory and application, its primary focus is on developing theoretical constructs that bridge the gap between business and the social and behavioral sciences. The disciplinary areas covered in the journal include, but are not limited to, service industries management, marketing science, consumer marketing, decision-making and behavior, business ethics, economics and forecasting, environment, geography and development, education and knowledge development, political science and administration, consumer-focused psychology, and anthropology and sociology.
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