比利时恐怖主义 50 年:对全球恐怖主义数据库中 121 起事件的审查。

Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-01 DOI:10.1080/00015458.2024.2308400
Harald De Cauwer, Luc J Mortelmans, Francis Somville, Patrick Cras
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目标:比利时不仅容易发生内陆恐怖主义,而且还吸引了以各种政治、外交、军事和/或宗教目标为目标的恐怖主义派别。本研究旨在确定全球恐怖主义数据库(Global Terrorism Database,GTD)所收录的 50 年来比利时发生的所有恐怖袭击事件,并分析其特点:方法:在全球恐怖主义数据库(GTD)中搜索了 1970 年至 2019 年期间比利时发生的所有恐怖袭击事件。对时间因素、地点、目标类型、袭击和武器类型、袭击者类型以及伤亡或人质数量进行了分析:50 年间,121 起事件造成 80 人确认死亡,498 人受伤。炸弹和爆炸是最常见的袭击类型(46.3%),其次是暗杀(16.5%)、基础设施破坏(15.7%)和武装或非武装袭击(14.0%)。政府和外交机构是最常见的袭击目标(24.0%)。对于那些GTD掌握足够信息的犯罪者,我们看到了一个及时的变化,从最初几十年以极左和分裂主义为主,到最近十年以圣战组织为主,而反犹主义派别在每个十年都很活跃:与其他研究相比,本研究并未显示出随时间推移而增加的趋势。左翼犯罪分子在八十年代占主导地位。在比利时 50 年的恐怖活动中,医疗保健系统幸免于难。在比利时,针对医疗保健系统的大规模杀伤性袭击十分罕见。
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50 Years of terrorism in Belgium: a review of 121 incidents in the global terrorism database.

Objectives: Belgium is not only prone to inland terrorism but also attracts terrorist factions aiming at various political, diplomatic, military, and/or religious targets. This study aimed to identify and characterize all documented terrorist attacks in Belgium reported to the Global Terrorism Database (GTD) over a period of 50 years.

Methods: The GTD was searched for all terrorist attacks in Belgium between 1970 and 2019. Analyses were performed on temporal factors, location, target type, attack and weapon type, attacker type, and number of casualties or hostages.

Results: In 50 years, 121 incidents accounted for 80 confirmed fatalities and 498 injured people. Bombings and explosions were the most frequently identified attack type (46.3%), followed by assassination (16.5%), infrastructure damage (15.7%) and armed or unarmed assaults (14.0%). Governmental and diplomatic institutions were the most frequent target (24.0%). For those perpetrators the GTD did have enough information we saw a timely change from far left and separatist dominating the early decades to Jihadi groups in the last decade, while anti-semitic factions were active in every decade.

Conclusion: In contrast to other studies, this study did not show an increase over time. Left-wing perpetrators dominated the eighties. In 50 years of terrorist activity in Belgium, the health care system was spared. Devastating mass casualty attacks challenging the health care system are rare in Belgium.

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