3D-DXA based finite element modelling for femur strength prediction: evaluation against QCT.

Osteoporosis is characterised by the loss of bone density resulting in an increased risk of fragility fractures. The clinical gold standard for diagnosing osteoporosis is based on the areal bone mineral density (aBMD) used as a surrogate for bone strength, in combination with clinical risk factors. Finite element (FE) analyses based on quantitative computed tomography (QCT) have been shown to estimate bone strength better than aBMD. However, their application in the osteoporosis clinics is limited due to exposure of patients to increased X-rays radiation dose. Statistical modelling methods (3D-DXA) enabling the estimation of 3D femur shape and volumetric bone density from dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scan have been shown to improve osteoporosis management. The current study used 3D-DXA based FE analyses to estimate femur strength from the routine clinical DXA scans and compared its results against 151 QCT based FE analyses, in a clinical cohort of 157 subjects. The linear regression between the femur strength predicted by QCT-FE and 3D-DXA-FE models correlated highly (coefficient of determination R² = 0.86) with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 397 N. In conclusion, the current study presented a 3D-DXA-FE modelling tool providing accurate femur strength estimates noninvasively, compared to QCT-FE models.