Software for Investigating the Relationship between Hydrogeochemical Earthquake Precursors and Planetary Period

Abstract

Prediction of earthquakes has long been one of the unsolved problems in seismology. The significance of this issue for the local population cannot be overstated. The entire republic is located within a high seismic risk zone. According to a recent study, strong earthquakes in this territory have a close relationship to planetary cycles. Using histograms of seismic event distribution, these connections are revealed for diurnal and lunar periods. To investigate the link, a method and tool for spatial and temporal monitoring of these processes was developed, integrating GIS data for active tectonic faults, seismic events, and planetary positions of the Sun and Moon. According to the study, most of the strongest earthquakes in the region occur during full or new moon periods. The nature of this phenomenon, however, is unclear. A study of the chemical composition of underground water during the Spitak 1988 earthquake reveals that it changes 4.5 months before the earthquake. The same thing happens before all the region’s strong earthquakes. This phenomenon has been named “geochemical quiescence,” and it has resulted in the discovery of stable earthquake precursors in the region. The time series of water chemical composition data obtained during the study shows that the mean of the series remains constant, but the standard deviation of the data changes. However, more sophisticated software is required to obtain a more accurate picture of seismic fault activation and its reliance on planetary cycles. More accurate solar system modeling, including the ability to switch between Geocentric and Heliocentric planetary systems, as well as visualization of tectonic fault position at any given time, will aid in understanding earthquake focal mechanism dependencies on planetary forces.