{"title":"部门波动和跳跃风险传染的动态模式和潜在群体结构","authors":"Wandi Zhao , Yang Gao","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2024.101110","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study explores the latent driving structure of sectoral risk contagion in terms of volatility and jump through the factor model framework for high-dimensional matrix-valued time series. We find strong inter-sector volatility and jump spillover effects at the mean level and higher effects at extreme tails, while jump spillovers reflect sharper structural shifts with the promotion of major financial or public events. Both volatility and jump are contagious in the form of a community-structure. Our findings provide new evidence about sectoral risk contagion and the importance of accurately identifying the underlying structure of risk contagion for efficiently realizing hierarchical regulation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"59 ","pages":"Article 101110"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Dynamic patterns and the latent community structure of sectoral volatility and jump risk contagion\",\"authors\":\"Wandi Zhao , Yang Gao\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ememar.2024.101110\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>This study explores the latent driving structure of sectoral risk contagion in terms of volatility and jump through the factor model framework for high-dimensional matrix-valued time series. We find strong inter-sector volatility and jump spillover effects at the mean level and higher effects at extreme tails, while jump spillovers reflect sharper structural shifts with the promotion of major financial or public events. Both volatility and jump are contagious in the form of a community-structure. Our findings provide new evidence about sectoral risk contagion and the importance of accurately identifying the underlying structure of risk contagion for efficiently realizing hierarchical regulation.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":47886,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Emerging Markets Review\",\"volume\":\"59 \",\"pages\":\"Article 101110\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-01-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Emerging Markets Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1566014124000050\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Emerging Markets Review","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1566014124000050","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Dynamic patterns and the latent community structure of sectoral volatility and jump risk contagion
This study explores the latent driving structure of sectoral risk contagion in terms of volatility and jump through the factor model framework for high-dimensional matrix-valued time series. We find strong inter-sector volatility and jump spillover effects at the mean level and higher effects at extreme tails, while jump spillovers reflect sharper structural shifts with the promotion of major financial or public events. Both volatility and jump are contagious in the form of a community-structure. Our findings provide new evidence about sectoral risk contagion and the importance of accurately identifying the underlying structure of risk contagion for efficiently realizing hierarchical regulation.
期刊介绍:
The intent of the editors is to consolidate Emerging Markets Review as the premier vehicle for publishing high impact empirical and theoretical studies in emerging markets finance. Preference will be given to comparative studies that take global and regional perspectives, detailed single country studies that address critical policy issues and have significant global and regional implications, and papers that address the interactions of national and international financial architecture. We especially welcome papers that take institutional as well as financial perspectives.