投票还是不投票?假新闻、选民欺诈以及对推迟 2020 年美国总统大选的支持

IF 1.4 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Politics & Policy Pub Date : 2024-01-26 DOI:10.1111/polp.12577
Stephen C. Craig, Jason Gainous
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在 2020 年大选之前,特朗普总统建议推迟大选,"直到国家能够确保只有合格的美国公民才能投票"。由于 COVID-19 大流行导致许多州采取措施使公民更容易安全投票,总统及其盟友对选民舞弊行为提出了许多不实的说法;其他人则认为,选民舞弊行为并不常见,而且不太可能随着对邮寄投票的更大依赖而明显增加。我们以 2020 年大选前进行的一项全国性互联网调查实验为基础,评估了这两种信息对公民支持推迟总统选举这一假设提案的影响。结果表明,如果受访者收到一条假消息,称欺诈行为很常见,那么他们更有可能支持推迟选举。结果还表明,这些影响是有条件的;政党和知识都会缓和这种关系。2022."当魅力型领导战胜社交网络时:寻找社交媒体对选举合法性信念的影响"。Politics & Policy 50(5):942-51. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12494.Fisher, Patrick.2020."代际更替与美国选民即将发生的转变》。Politics & Policy 48(1):38-68. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12340.Stockemer, Daniel.2013."总统选举中的腐败与投票率:A Macro-Level Quantitative Analysis." Politics & Policy 41(2).政治与政策》41(2):189–212. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12012.
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To vote or not to vote? Fake news, voter fraud, and support for postponing the 2020 U.S. presidential election

Prior to the 2020 election President Trump suggested the election should be postponed “until the country can make sure that only eligible American citizens can vote.” With the COVID-19 pandemic leading many states to take steps that made it easier for citizens to vote safely, the president and his allies made numerous false claims about voter fraud; others argued that voter fraud is not common and is unlikely to appreciably increase with greater reliance on mail balloting. We rely on a national Internet-based survey experiment conducted prior to the 2020 election to assess the effectiveness of both messages on citizens' support for a hypothetical proposal to postpone the presidential election. The results suggest that respondents were more likely to support postponement if they received a fake news message that fraud is common. The results also suggest that these effects are conditional; both political party and knowledge moderate the relationship.

Related Articles

Aguado, N. Alexander. 2022. “When Charismatic Leadership Trumps Social Networking: Searching for the Effects of Social Media on Beliefs of Electoral Legitimacy.” Politics & Policy 50(5): 942–51. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12494.

Fisher, Patrick. 2020. “Generational Replacement and the Impending Transformation of the American Electorate.” Politics & Policy 48(1): 38–68. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12340.

Stockemer, Daniel. 2013. “Corruption and Turnout in Presidential Elections: A Macro-Level Quantitative Analysis.” Politics & Policy 41(2): 189–212. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12012.

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来源期刊
Politics & Policy
Politics & Policy POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
23.10%
发文量
61
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