中小型工业对阿拉伯联合酋长国经济增长的影响

Hassiba Hadouga
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摘要

一个国家的社会经济增长在很大程度上受到其中小企业(SMEs)的影响。中小型企业创造了就业机会,它们还参与国际贸易,与大型企业竞争。同样,在阿联酋,中小型企业在经济可持续发展中也发挥着重要作用。本文旨在确定中小型企业如何影响阿拉伯联合酋长国的经济增长。研究对象是中小型工业部门及其对阿拉伯联合酋长国经济增长的影响。研究的方法论基础和信息库是当前的科学和应用研究、统计信息。文章采用了分析、综合、比较和概括等多种方法。研究的主要假设是:经济管理的效率和公共部门的财务状况取决于预算预测和规划的质量,因为它们是社会经济进程可持续发展的关键。介绍主要材料。研究方法(矢量误差修正模型 VECM 分析)与常数 Dickey-Fuller 检验(ADF)、协整性 Johansen 检验、因果关系 Granger 检验以及 1999-2019 年期间时间序列的二级数据的响应函数(IRF)的结果表明,企业数量变量与企业数量变量显著相关。研究的原创性和现实意义。经济增长与中小企业在两个方面存在因果关系。VECM 分析的结果还表明,在短期内,滞后-1 的中小企业数量对经济增长有显著的正向影响,此外,阿拉伯联合酋长国的工人数量变量与经济增长存在单向和双向的因果关系。从长期来看,经济增长、中小型企业数量及其员工基础都是相互关联的。
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ВПЛИВ МАЛОГО ТА СЕРЕДНЬОГО СЕКТОРІВ ПРОМИСЛОВОСТІ НА ЕКОНОМІЧНЕ ЗРОСТАННЯ ОБ’ЄДНАНИХ АРАБСЬКИХ ЕМІРАТІВ
A nation's socioeconomic growth is significantly impacted by its small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Jobs are created by small and medium-sized businesses, which also participate in international trade and compete with big businesses. Similar to this, in the UAE, small and medium-sized businesses play a significant role in economic development that is sustainable. The purpose of the article is to determine how small and medium-sized businesses affect economic growth in the United Arab Emirates. The subject of the study is small and medium industry sector and their influence on the economic growth of the United Arab Emirates. The methodological basis and information base of the research are current scientific and applied research, statistical information. The article uses a number of methods, including analysis, synthesis, comparison and generalization. The main hypothesis of the study was the assumption that the efficiency of economic management and the financial condition of the public sector depend on the quality of budget forecasting and planning, because they are the key to the sustainable development of socio-economic processes. Presenting main material. The results of the research method (Vector Error Correction Model VECM analysis) with the constant Dickey-Fuller test (ADF), the Johansen test for cointegration, the Granger test for causality, and the response function (IRF) for secondary data in time series for the period 1999-2019 showed that the variables of the number of firms were significantly correlated with the variables of the number of firms.The originality and practical significance of the research.Economic growth and small and medium-sized businesses are causally related in two ways. The results of the VECM analysis also demonstrate that in the short term there is a significant positive effect on the number of small and medium enterprises in lag-1 on Economic growth, in addition to the existence of a unidirectional and bidirectional causal relationship for the variable number of workers and economic growth in the United Arab Emirates.Conclusions. Economic growth, the number of small and medium-sized businesses, and their employee bases are all interconnected over the long term.
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