模拟银行和非银行间的火灾销售传染

IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Financial Stability Pub Date : 2024-01-26 DOI:10.1016/j.jfs.2024.101231
Fabio Caccioli , Gerardo Ferrara , Amanah Ramadiah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们通过不同金融部门共同持有的资产,研究了甩卖对英国金融体系的影响。特别是,我们模拟了英国银行和非银行在不同类型的约束条件下通过火售间接传染的情况。我们发现,进行压力模拟时如果不考虑多个部门共同持有的资产,就会严重低估金融体系中的火灾损失。此外,按比例清算策略会导致整个系统的火灾损失水平较高,但对于在困境中选择不立即清算其任何资产而其他机构决定清算的被动机构(或被动部门)而言,瀑布策略可能会产生较高的溢出效应。
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Modelling fire sale contagion across banks and non-banks

We examine the impact of fire sales on the UK financial system through commonly held assets across different financial sectors. In particular, we model indirect contagion via fire sales across UK banks and non-banks subject to different types of constraints. We find that performing a stress simulation that does not account for common asset holdings across multiple sectors can severely underestimate the fire sale losses in the financial system. In addition, pro-rata liquidation strategy would result in a higher level of fire sale losses in the system as whole, but a waterfall strategy may produce a higher spillover effect for a passive institution (or a passive sector) that chooses not to promptly liquidate any of its assets during distress while other institutions decide to do so.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.70
自引率
9.30%
发文量
78
审稿时长
34 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of Financial Stability provides an international forum for rigorous theoretical and empirical macro and micro economic and financial analysis of the causes, management, resolution and preventions of financial crises, including banking, securities market, payments and currency crises. The primary focus is on applied research that would be useful in affecting public policy with respect to financial stability. Thus, the Journal seeks to promote interaction among researchers, policy-makers and practitioners to identify potential risks to financial stability and develop means for preventing, mitigating or managing these risks both within and across countries.
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