代际时间转移、退休和公共养老金

IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100502
Quynh-Nga Nguyen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文建立了一个代际重叠模型,以祖父母养育和现收现付(PAYG)养老金制度的形式进行代际时间转移。时间转移的引入考虑到了照顾子女的责任。在人口老龄化的情况下,生育率的下降不仅会导致养老金制度缴费的减少,还会降低育儿责任,从而增加生命周期收入。因此,需要重新审视人口结构变化对老年劳动决策和养老金的影响。我发现,在生育率低、养老金制度规模小的国家,生育率下降会减少老年工作时间。因此,生育率下降导致的人口老龄化总是会减少养老金。另一方面,对于高生育率国家和低生育率但养老金体系庞大的国家,生育率下降会降低退休年龄。在这些国家,如果退休对生育率的变化有弹性,养老金就会增加。在所有情况下,如果退休对寿命的变化相对缺乏弹性,预期寿命的延长都会增加养老金。
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Intergenerational time transfer, retirement and public pensions

This paper develops an overlapping generations model with intergenerational transfer of time in the form of grandparenting and pay-as-you-go (PAYG) pension system. The introduction of time transfer allows taking into account child care responsibilities. Under the situation of population ageing, a fall in the fertility rate leads to not only a reduction in contributions to the pension system but also lower childcare responsibilities that increase life-cycle income. Hence, the impacts of demographic changes on old labour decisions and pensions need to be re-examined. I find that in countries with low fertility rates and small pension systems, a fall in fertility rate reduces working time in old age. Consequently, population ageing due to a lower fertility rate always decreases pensions. On the other hand, for countries with high fertility rates and countries with low fertility rates but large pension systems, a decrease in fertility rate reduces retirement age. In these countries, pensions will increase if retirement is elastic to changes in fertility. In all cases, longer life expectancy increases pensions if retirement is relatively inelastic to changes in longevity.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
4.50%
发文量
46
审稿时长
49 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of the Economics of Ageing (JEoA) is an international academic journal that publishes original theoretical and empirical research dealing with the interaction between demographic change and the economy. JEoA encompasses both microeconomic and macroeconomic perspectives and offers a platform for the discussion of topics including labour, health, and family economics, social security, income distribution, social mobility, immigration, productivity, structural change, economic growth and development. JEoA also solicits papers that have a policy focus.
期刊最新文献
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