与齐普夫定律赛跑:1910-2020 年种族与大都市人口规模

IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of Regional Science Pub Date : 2024-01-31 DOI:10.1111/jors.12686
Ricardo T. Fernholz, Rory Kramer
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引用次数: 0

摘要

学术研究表明,如果人口具有充分的劳动力流动性,城市系统就会遵循幂律人口分布。从理论上讲,如果亚人口也具有充分的劳动力流动性,那么该亚人口也应遵循幂律人口分布。通过研究 1910 年至 2020 年美国大都市地区白人和黑人的城市人口分布,可以发现在整个期间,白人的人口分布大多符合齐普夫定律和吉布拉特定律。相比之下,黑人人口直到 20 世纪下半叶才符合这两个定律,这一结果与吉姆-克罗时代美国黑人离开南方的流动性受限的理论是一致的。
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Racing to Zipf's law: Race and metropolitan population size 1910–2020

Scholarship demonstrates that urban systems follow a power law population distribution if the population has full labor mobility. Theoretically, subpopulations should also follow a power law population distribution if that subpopulation also has full labor mobility. Examining city population distributions for White and Black Americans across US metropolitan areas from 1910 to 2020 shows that the White distribution mostly conforms to both Zipf's and Gibrat's laws throughout this period. In contrast, the Black population does not follow either law until the second half of the 20th century, a result that is consistent with theories of restricted mobility out of the South for Black Americans during the Jim Crow era.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.90
自引率
6.70%
发文量
54
期刊介绍: The Journal of Regional Science (JRS) publishes original analytical research at the intersection of economics and quantitative geography. Since 1958, the JRS has published leading contributions to urban and regional thought including rigorous methodological contributions and seminal theoretical pieces. The JRS is one of the most highly cited journals in urban and regional research, planning, geography, and the environment. The JRS publishes work that advances our understanding of the geographic dimensions of urban and regional economies, human settlements, and policies related to cities and regions.
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