赋予下一代权力:直接民主在青年选举权中的作用

IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS European Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2024.102507
Anna Maria Koukal , Patricia Schafer , Reiner Eichenberger
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引用次数: 0

摘要

选民何时愿意赋予一个新群体选举权?在本文中,我们分析了直接民主的程度是否以及如何影响选民扩大年轻人选举权的意愿。我们利用了一个新的市级数据集,该数据集来自两次瑞士联邦公投,涉及将投票年龄从 20 岁降至 18 岁。基于差分法(DiD)设计,我们证明,在直接民主的背景下,降低投票年龄的支持率较低,但如果在联邦投票时,青年人口已经在地方一级获得了选举权,这种负面影响就会消失,甚至变成正面影响。这一发现与以下解释一致,即选民对因选举权扩大而导致的预期权力损失做出了系统性反应,而在直接民主背景下,这种预期权力损失更大。然而,一旦新群体在地方一级获得了选举权,直接民主就能促进新旧选民之间的接触,并能增加对进一步扩大选举权的支持。此外,我们还提供了影响选民降低投票年龄意愿的社会人口因素的证据。
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Empowering the next generation: The role of direct democracy in youth enfranchisement

When are voters willing to enfranchise a new group? In this paper, we analyze whether and how the extent of direct democracy affects the willingness of the electorate to extend suffrage to young people. We exploit a new municipality-level dataset from two Swiss federal referendums that concerned lowering the voting age from 20 to 18. Based on a Difference-in-Differences (DiD) design, we demonstrate that support for lowering the voting age is lower within the context of direct democracy but that the negative effect disappears and even becomes positive if the youth population is already enfranchised at the local level at the time of the federal vote. This finding is consistent with the interpretation that voters react systematically to the expected power loss resulting from suffrage extensions, which is larger under a direct-democratic setting. However, once the new group is enfranchised on the local level, direct democracy can foster contact between the old and new electorate and can increase support for further suffrage extensions. In addition, we provide evidence of socio-demographic factors that affect the electorate’s willingness to lower the voting age.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
10.00%
发文量
106
期刊介绍: The aim of the European Journal of Political Economy is to disseminate original theoretical and empirical research on economic phenomena within a scope that encompasses collective decision making, political behavior, and the role of institutions. Contributions are invited from the international community of researchers. Manuscripts must be published in English. Starting 2008, the European Journal of Political Economy is indexed in the Social Sciences Citation Index published by Thomson Scientific (formerly ISI).
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