2013-2020年环境温度对中国柳州精神分裂症入院人数的即时和延迟影响:时间序列分析。

IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS International Journal of Biometeorology Pub Date : 2024-05-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-07 DOI:10.1007/s00484-024-02629-1
Qian Zhou, Xiaolan Huang, Li Su, Xianyan Tang, Yanli Qin, Yuting Huo, Chun Zhou, Jun Lan, Yue Zhao, Zaifei Huang, Guoguang Huang, Yuhua Wei
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摘要

本研究旨在探讨中国柳州市环境温度与精神分裂症入院人数之间的关系。研究采用泊松广义线性模型结合分布滞后非线性模型,分析了2013年至2020年柳州市日平均气温对精神分裂症入院人数的影响。此外,研究还进行了分组分析,以调查按性别、婚姻状况和年龄分层的可能变化。本研究共纳入 10,420 例精神分裂症患者。精神分裂症入院的相对风险随气温升高而增加,当日平均气温达到 21.65 摄氏度时,高温对精神分裂症入院的滞后效应被观察到。最大的单一效应出现在滞后期0,而最大的累积效应出现在滞后期6。高温对男性和女性精神分裂症入院人数的单一效应在统计学上均显著,但累积效应仅对男性显著,且在滞后期 0-7 时效应最大。高温对未婚精神分裂症患者入院率的单一效应在滞后期 5 时最大,而对未婚精神分裂症患者的累积效应在滞后期 0-7 时最大。高温对 0-20 岁、21-40 岁和 41-60 岁精神分裂症患者入院率的单一效应。对 21-40 岁精神分裂症患者的累积效应从滞后期 0-3 到滞后期 0-7,在滞后期 0-7 时效应最大。总之,精神分裂症的入院风险随着环境温度的升高而增加。未婚的精神分裂症患者似乎更容易受到高温的单一和累积效应的影响。
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Immediate and delayed effects of environmental temperature on schizophrenia admissions in Liuzhou, China, 2013-2020: a time series analysis.

This study aimed to investigate the associations between environmental temperature and schizophrenia admissions in Liuzhou, China. A Poisson generalized linear model combined with a distributed lag nonlinear model was used to analyze the effects of daily mean temperature on schizophrenia admissions from 2013 to 2020 in Liuzhou. Additionally, subgroup analyses were conducted to investigate possible modifications stratified by gender, marital status, and age. In this study, 10,420 schizophrenia admissions were included. The relative risks of schizophrenia admissions increased as the temperature rose, and the lag effects of high temperature on schizophrenia admissions were observed when the daily mean temperature reached 21.65°C. The largest single effect was observed at lag0, while the largest cumulative effect was observed at lag6. The single effects of high temperatures on schizophrenia admissions were statistically significant in both males and females, but the cumulative effects were statistically significant only in males, with the greatest effect at lag0-7. The single effect of high temperatures on admissions for unmarried schizophrenics was greatest at lag5, while the maximum cumulative effect for unmarried schizophrenia was observed at lag0-7. The single effects of high temperatures on schizophrenia admissions were observed in those aged 0-20, 21-40, and 41-60. The cumulative effects for schizophrenics aged 21-40 were observed from lag0-3 to lag0-7, with the maximum effect at lag0-7. In conclusion, the risk of schizophrenia admissions increased as the environmental temperature increased. The schizophrenics who were unmarried appeared to be more vulnerable to the single and cumulative effects of high temperature.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
9.40%
发文量
183
审稿时长
1 months
期刊介绍: The Journal publishes original research papers, review articles and short communications on studies examining the interactions between living organisms and factors of the natural and artificial atmospheric environment. Living organisms extend from single cell organisms, to plants and animals, including humans. The atmospheric environment includes climate and weather, electromagnetic radiation, and chemical and biological pollutants. The journal embraces basic and applied research and practical aspects such as living conditions, agriculture, forestry, and health. The journal is published for the International Society of Biometeorology, and most membership categories include a subscription to the Journal.
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