Using tumor habitat-derived radiomic analysis during pretreatment 18F-FDG PET for predicting KRAS/NRAS/BRAF mutations in colorectal cancer.

Background: To investigate the association between Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog (KRAS) / neuroblastoma rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog (NRAS) /v-raf murine sarcoma viral oncogene homolog B (BRAF) mutations and the tumor habitat-derived radiomic features obtained during pretreatment ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC).

Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 62 patients with CRC who had undergone ¹⁸F-FDG PET/computed tomography from January 2017 to July 2022 before the initiation of therapy. The patients were randomly split into training and validation cohorts with a ratio of 6:4. The whole tumor region radiomic features, habitat-derived radiomic features, and metabolic parameters were extracted from ¹⁸F-FDG PET images. After reducing the feature dimension and selecting meaningful features, we constructed a hierarchical model of KRAS/NRAS/BRAF mutations by using the support vector machine. The convergence of the model was evaluated by using learning curve, and its performance was assessed based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. The SHapley Additive exPlanation was used to interpret the contributions of various features to predictions of the model.

Results: The model constructed by using habitat-derived radiomic features had adequate predictive power with respect to KRAS/NRAS/BRAF mutations, with an AUC of 0.759 (95% CI: 0.585-0.909) on the training cohort and that of 0.701 (95% CI: 0.468-0.916) on the validation cohort. The model exhibited good convergence, suitable calibration, and clinical application value. The results of the SHapley Additive explanation showed that the peritumoral habitat and a high_metabolism habitat had the greatest impact on predictions of the model. No meaningful whole tumor region radiomic features or metabolic parameters were retained during feature selection.

Conclusion: The habitat-derived radiomic features were found to be helpful in stratifying the status of KRAS/NRAS/BRAF in CRC patients. The approach proposed here has significant implications for adjuvant treatment decisions in patients with CRC, and needs to be further validated on a larger prospective cohort.