用傅里叶引导法 AARDL 和傅里叶引导法 Toda-Yamamoto 因果关系方法检验金砖四国污染天堂和污染光环假说的有效性

IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Air Quality Atmosphere and Health Pub Date : 2024-02-09 DOI:10.1007/s11869-024-01522-5
Oguzhan Ozcelik, Hasan Bardakci, Abdulkadir Barut, Muhammad Usman, Narasingha Das
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引用次数: 0

摘要

宜居环境的可持续性和保护对所有生物都至关重要,分析污染宜居环境的因素并及时采取必要的预防措施非常有用。在此范围内,本研究采用傅里叶 Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin(KPSS)静态检验法、傅里叶 Bootstrap 增强自回归分布滞后(AARDL)法和傅里叶 Bootstrap Toda-Yamamoto 因果关系检验法,分析了金砖四国(巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国、墨西哥和土耳其)在 1980-2021 年期间对外贸易和投资对环境污染的影响。研究结果表明,污染避风港假说成立,因为中国出口和外商投资的增加在短期和长期内都加剧了环境污染。虽然中国、巴西、墨西哥和土耳其的环境污染随着进口的增加而加剧,但俄罗斯的环境污染却有所减轻。进口对环境污染上升的短期影响在巴西也是有效的。从长期来看,外国投资会增加巴西和墨西哥的环境污染,因此污染天堂假说在这两个国家是成立的。在俄罗斯和墨西哥,有研究发现外国投资会在短期内减少环境污染,因此污染晕轮假说在短期内是有效的。根据 Fourier Bootstrap Toda-Yamamoto 因果检验结果,可以确定中国和印度存在进出口与环境污染的因果关系,俄罗斯和巴西存在外商投资与环境污染的因果关系。
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Testing the validity of pollution haven and pollution halo hypotheses in BRICMT countries by Fourier Bootstrap AARDL method and Fourier Bootstrap Toda-Yamamoto causality approach

It is useful to analyze the factors, polluting the livable environment, whose sustainability and protection are vital to all living things, and to take the necessary precautions promptly. Within this scope, the effects of foreign trade and investments on environmental pollution in BRICMT (Brazil, Russia, India, China, Mexico, and Turkey) countries were analyzed with the Fourier Kwiatkowski–Phillips–Schmidt–Shin (KPSS) stationarity test, Fourier Bootstrap augumented autoregressive distributive lag (AARDL) method, and Fourier Bootstrap Toda-Yamamoto causality test for the period 1980–2021 in this study. According to the findings, the pollution haven hypothesis is valid since increasing exports and foreign investment in China increased environmental pollution both in the short term and the long term. While environmental pollution increased in China, Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey with increasing imports, it decreased in Russia. The short-term impact of imports on rising environmental pollution is also valid for Brazil. Since foreign investment increases environmental pollution in Brazil and Mexico in the long run, the pollution haven hypothesis is valid in these countries. In Russia and Mexico, where there are findings that foreign investment reduces environmental pollution in the short term, the pollution halo hypothesis is valid in the short run. According to the Fourier Bootstrap Toda-Yamamoto causality test results, it was determined that there is causality from exports and imports to environmental pollution in China and India and from foreign investment to environmental pollution in Russia and Brazil.

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来源期刊
Air Quality Atmosphere and Health
Air Quality Atmosphere and Health ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES-
CiteScore
8.80
自引率
2.00%
发文量
146
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Air Quality, Atmosphere, and Health is a multidisciplinary journal which, by its very name, illustrates the broad range of work it publishes and which focuses on atmospheric consequences of human activities and their implications for human and ecological health. It offers research papers, critical literature reviews and commentaries, as well as special issues devoted to topical subjects or themes. International in scope, the journal presents papers that inform and stimulate a global readership, as the topic addressed are global in their import. Consequently, we do not encourage submission of papers involving local data that relate to local problems. Unless they demonstrate wide applicability, these are better submitted to national or regional journals. Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health addresses such topics as acid precipitation; airborne particulate matter; air quality monitoring and management; exposure assessment; risk assessment; indoor air quality; atmospheric chemistry; atmospheric modeling and prediction; air pollution climatology; climate change and air quality; air pollution measurement; atmospheric impact assessment; forest-fire emissions; atmospheric science; greenhouse gases; health and ecological effects; clean air technology; regional and global change and satellite measurements. This journal benefits a diverse audience of researchers, public health officials and policy makers addressing problems that call for solutions based in evidence from atmospheric and exposure assessment scientists, epidemiologists, and risk assessors. Publication in the journal affords the opportunity to reach beyond defined disciplinary niches to this broader readership.
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