尼日利亚的石油租金、腐败和经济增长关系:来自各种估算技术的证据

IF 1.3 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Journal of Money Laundering Control Pub Date : 2024-02-19 DOI:10.1108/jmlc-10-2023-0160
Joseph David, Awadh Ahmed Mohammed Gamal, Mohd Asri Mohd Noor, Zainizam Zakariya
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的尽管尼日利亚拥有与石油相关的巨大财政资源,但其经济增长表现一直不佳。因此,本研究旨在探讨腐败和石油租金如何影响尼日利亚 1996-2021 年期间的经济表现。这些技术包括引导自回归分布滞后(ARDL)边界检验、动态普通最小二乘法(DOLS)、完全修正 OLS(FMOLS)和典型协整回归(CCR)估计器以及 Toda-Yamamoto 因果关系。此外,ARDL、DOLS、CCR 和 FMOLS 估计器的结果表明,石油租金和腐败对经济增长有显著的积极影响。此外,结果表明,人力资本和金融发展会促进经济增长,而国内投资和失业率则会减缓长期增长。此外,因果检验结果表明,石油租金与经济增长之间存在单向因果关系,腐败与经济增长之间存在双向因果关系。人们很少关注石油租金和普遍存在的腐败是如何影响尼日利亚经济表现的。根据本研究的结果,建议制定相关战略和政策,以减少对石油的依赖和腐败的泛滥,促进人力资本和金融发展,降低失业率。
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Oil rent, corruption and economic growth relationship in Nigeria: evidence from various estimation techniques

Purpose

Despite the huge financial resources associated with oil, Nigeria has consistently recorded poor growth performance. Therefore, this study aims to examine how corruption and oil rent influence Nigeria’s economic performance during the 1996–2021 period.

Design/methodology/approach

Various estimation techniques were used. These include the bootstrap autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds-testing, dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS), the fully modified OLS (FMOLS) and the canonical cointegration regression (CCR) estimators and the Toda–Yamamoto causality.

Findings

The bounds testing results provide evidence of a cointegrating relationship between the variables. In addition, the results of the ARDL, DOLS, CCR and FMOLS estimators demonstrate that oil rent and corruption have a significant positive impact on growth. Further, the results indicate that human capital and financial development enhance economic growth, whereas domestic investment and unemployment rates slow down long-term growth. Additionally, the causality test results illustrate the presence of a one-way causality from oil rent to economic growth and a bi-directional causal relationship between corruption and economic growth.

Originality/value

Existing studies focused on the effects of either oil rent or corruption on growth in Nigeria. Little attention has been paid to the exploration of how the rent from oil and the pervasiveness of corruption contribute to the performance of the Nigerian economy. Based on the outcome of this study, strategies and policies geared towards reducing oil dependence and the pervasiveness of corruption, enhancing human capital and financial development and reducing unemployment are recommended.

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来源期刊
Journal of Money Laundering Control
Journal of Money Laundering Control CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY-
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
27.30%
发文量
59
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