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Facets of drug trafficking in Manipur, a border state of India: volumes, ethnicity and value 印度边境邦曼尼普尔的毒品贩运面面观:数量、种族和价值
IF 1.1 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1108/jmlc-05-2024-0093
Hanjabam Isworchandra Sharma, Shukhdeba Sharma Hanjabam

Purpose

Drug trafficking in the tiny state of Manipur, located in the northeastern part of India bordering Myanmar, has drawn attention from all over the globe looking at the scale and varieties of drugs trafficked, ranging from plant-based opiates to synthetic-based amphetamine-type stimulants (ATS). Moreover, drug trafficking in the region also comes with many socio-political dynamics such as high per-capita drug consumption, local drug manufacturing units, terror funding from drug money, politician–drug lord nexus, police–peddler nexus.

Design/methodology/approach

The study is based on data from the years 2007 to 2023 accessed from the Narcotics and Affairs of Borders, a specialized branch of Manipur Police, Government of Manipur. The study also tries to estimate the state’s drug economy using the Financial Action Task Force and the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime methodology.

Findings

The study finds seizure of a massive cache of heroin/brown sugar, and ATS in the past 4–5 years. The study also finds large-scale destruction of poppy plants in the state. The study also finds a high percentage of ethnic minority communities involved in drug trafficking. The study found the value amounting to US$62m in 2022. The study also comes across low conviction rates of drug traffickers in the state.

Originality/value

The study emphasizes the need for expediting the War on Drugs campaign in the state curtailing poppy cultivation and conviction of drug lords so that the nerve center of terror funding in India’s eastern front is kept under control.

目的:位于印度东北部、与缅甸接壤的小邦曼尼普尔的毒品贩运规模之大、种类之多,从植物鸦片制剂到合成苯丙胺类兴奋剂(ATS),引起了全球的关注。此外,该地区的毒品贩运还伴随着许多社会政治动态因素,如人均毒品消费量高、当地毒品制造单位、毒品资金为恐怖活动提供资金、政客与毒枭的关系、警察与贩毒者的关系等。设计/方法/途径本研究基于从曼尼普尔邦政府曼尼普尔警察局专门部门--缉毒和边境事务处获取的 2007 年至 2023 年的数据。研究还试图采用金融行动特别工作组和联合国毒品和犯罪问题办公室的方法对该邦的毒品经济进行估算。研究结果研究发现,在过去的 4-5 年里,该邦缴获了大量海洛因/红糖和苯丙胺类兴奋剂。研究还发现,该州的罂粟种植园遭到大规模破坏。研究还发现,少数民族社区参与贩毒的比例很高。研究发现,2022 年的毒品价值达 6200 万美元。原创性/价值该研究强调,有必要加快该邦的禁毒运动,减少罂粟种植,并对毒枭定罪,从而控制印度东部前线的恐怖资金神经中枢。
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引用次数: 0
Evolution of the whistleblowing regime: the UAE model 举报制度的演变:阿联酋模式
IF 1.1 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1108/jmlc-06-2024-0098
Tatyana Gibbs

Purpose

This study aims to conceptualize the UAE’s whistleblowing model by reviewing recent legislative updates directed toward removing potential legal deterrents, introducing legal protection and establishing numerous external whistleblowing channels. The study surveys these initiatives through the prism of the country’s unique socio-economic and judicial environments.

Design/methodology/approach

The study applies a conceptual approach to probe the potential impact of the UAE’s legislative initiatives on the country’s whistleblowing regime by connecting the demographic data, the UAE’s legal and regulatory frameworks, academic literature and media reports.

Findings

Recent legislative updates to the UAE whistleblowing regime are geared toward removal of potential legal deterrents, introduction of legal protection and establishment of external whistleblowing channels for reporting. These constitute the conceptual model of the UAE’s whistleblowing strategy, which is broad in scope and application yet may appear fragmented.

Originality/value

The study merges a comprehensive review of legislative initiatives and regulatory framework with academic literature to conceptualize the UAE’s whistleblowing model.

目的本研究旨在通过审查近期旨在消除潜在法律威慑、引入法律保护和建立众多外部举报渠道的立法更新,对阿联酋的举报模式进行概念化。本研究从阿联酋独特的社会经济和司法环境出发,对这些举措进行了调查。本研究采用概念方法,通过将人口数据、阿联酋的法律和监管框架、学术文献和媒体报道联系起来,探究阿联酋的立法举措对该国举报制度的潜在影响。研究结果阿联酋举报制度近期的立法更新旨在消除潜在的法律威慑、引入法律保护和建立外部举报渠道。这些构成了阿联酋举报战略的概念模型,其范围和应用广泛,但可能显得支离破碎。原创性/价值本研究将对立法举措和监管框架的全面审查与学术文献相结合,对阿联酋的举报模式进行了概念化。
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引用次数: 0
Improving client risk classification with machine learning to increase anti-money laundering detection efficiency 利用机器学习改进客户风险分类,提高反洗钱检测效率
IF 1.1 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1108/jmlc-03-2024-0040
Endre Jo Reite, Johan Karlsen, Elias Grefstad Westgaard

Purpose

This study aims to describe and empirically explore a new method for bank anti-money laundering (AML) systems using machine learning models. Current automated money laundering detection systems are notorious for flagging many false positives, causing bank employees to spend unnecessary time manually checking transactions that do not constitute money laundering. Decreasing the number of false positives can free up resources for investigating money laundering.

Design/methodology/approach

This study uses unique bank data on small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to examine how various client risk classification models can predict future suspicious transactions. This study explores various sources of client risk data and machine-learning approaches.

Findings

Client risk classification models can accurately predict suspicious future transactions. Adding accounting data and credit score information to client risk classification dramatically improves accuracy. This makes it easier to balance the risk of missing suspicious transactions with the need to reduce the number of false positives.

Practical implications

The suggested approach with readily available data sources and a focus on classifying client risk in a dynamic model can help banks significantly improve their efficiency by targeting their AML efforts toward the riskiest clients.

Originality/value

To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is the first to empirically explore machine learning in client risk classification, document how machine learning in client risk classification can significantly reduce false positives by incorporating novel, but readily available sources, such as credit risk and accounting data.

目的 本研究旨在描述和实证探索一种使用机器学习模型的银行反洗钱(AML)系统新方法。当前的反洗钱自动检测系统因标记出许多误报而臭名昭著,导致银行员工花费不必要的时间手动检查不构成洗钱的交易。本研究使用中小型企业(SMEs)的独特银行数据来研究各种客户风险分类模型如何预测未来的可疑交易。本研究探讨了客户风险数据的各种来源和机器学习方法。研究结果客户风险分类模型可以准确预测未来的可疑交易。在客户风险分类中加入会计数据和信用评分信息可显著提高准确性。实际意义所建议的方法具有现成的数据源,并侧重于在动态模型中对客户风险进行分类,可以帮助银行将反洗钱工作的目标锁定在风险最高的客户身上,从而显著提高效率。独创性/价值 据作者所知,本研究首次对客户风险分类中的机器学习进行了实证探索,并记录了客户风险分类中的机器学习如何通过纳入新颖但随时可用的数据源(如信用风险和会计数据)来显著减少误报。
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引用次数: 0
Deciphering the links: evaluating central bank transparency impact on corruption perception index in G20 countries 破解联系:评估中央银行透明度对 20 国集团国家腐败认知指数的影响
IF 1.1 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1108/jmlc-01-2024-0016
Anas Al Qudah, Mahmoud Ali Hailat

Purpose

This study aims to explore the relationships between GDP growth, education spending, central bank transparency (CBT) and accountability on the corruption perception index within the G20 countries, emphasizing their combined effects and interdependencies.

Design/methodology/approach

Using the central bank transparency index (CBTI) introduced by Dinçer et al. (2019), an analysis spanning from 2002 to 2019 was conducted on selected G20 countries, further refining the results by excluding EU members. Data sources included World Bank statistics and CBTI data. The research deployed the heteroskedastic and contemporaneously correlated panel-corrected standard error model to detail the effects of the aforementioned factors on the corruption index.

Findings

The study revealed no statistical evidence that economic growth had an effect on reducing corruption. Education spending emerged as a potent tool in curbing corruption, especially in EU nations. A strong correlation was identified between CBT and reduced corruption, consistent across G20 countries, regardless of EU affiliation. The insights emphasize the importance of enhancing education spending and CBT in combating corruption. For effective anti-corruption measures, countries are encouraged to invest more in education, amplify internal checks and adopt transparent central bank policies. Further research could delve into cultural, historical and political variables to understand corruption dynamics comprehensively.

Originality/value

This study aspires to address the existing gaps in the literature and provide a substantial contribution to the ongoing discourse and efforts to understand and mitigate corruption within the G20 countries and globally.

目的本研究旨在探讨二十国集团(G20)国家的国内生产总值增长、教育支出、中央银行透明度(CBT)和腐败感知指数上的问责制之间的关系,强调它们之间的综合效应和相互依存关系。设计/方法/途径利用Dinçer等人(2019)提出的中央银行透明度指数(CBTI),对选定的二十国集团(G20)国家进行了2002年至2019年的分析,并通过排除欧盟成员国进一步完善了分析结果。数据来源包括世界银行统计数据和 CBTI 数据。研究采用异方差和同期相关的面板校正标准误差模型,详细分析了上述因素对腐败指数的影响。教育支出成为遏制腐败的有力工具,尤其是在欧盟国家。在 20 国集团国家中,无论是否隶属于欧盟,都发现了社区信任措施与减少腐败之间的密切联系。这些见解强调了加强教育支出和建立信任措施对打击腐败的重要性。为了采取有效的反腐措施,我们鼓励各国加大教育投资,加强内部检查,并采取透明的中央银行政策。进一步的研究可以深入探讨文化、历史和政治变量,以全面了解腐败的动态变化。 本研究旨在填补现有文献中的空白,并为目前正在进行的讨论以及为了解和减轻 G20 国家和全球范围内的腐败现象所做的努力做出实质性贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Banks’ internal governance obligations vis-à-vis money laundering risks emerging from the new technology-enabled means to transfer funds or value (“crypto assets”) 银行的内部治理义务,以应对新技术手段转移资金或价值("加密资产")带来的洗钱风险
IF 1.1 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1108/jmlc-04-2024-0068
Andrea Minto

Purpose

The new technology-enabled means to transfer funds or value via crypto assets have prompted regulators and supervisors to question the effectiveness of the anti-money laundering (AML) regulatory framework. This paper aims to examine the recent developments of the EU AML legislation – leading up to the 2021 AML package – focusing in particular on the banks’ internal governance obligations.

Design/methodology/approach

The analysis is based on the legal dogmatic methodology and is therefore conducted thanks to a critical exam of the current and upcoming EU policy and legislation, taking into account the relevant literature and case-law.

Findings

The recent regulatory developments, culminating in the AML regulation, are strengthening the causal links between ML risk assessment–ML risk exposure–ML risk management, via internal governance procedures. One of the major AML regulatory strategies to react to the new challenges brought up by crypto assets amounts to a stricter and more demanding AML risk management regime imposed on banks.

Originality/value

The originality of this article lies in the analysis of the causal connection between money laundering risk identification and internal governance obligations. In particular, this article examines how the risk assessment will be shaping the organizational procedures, processes and internal functions necessary to manage the money laundering risks.

目的通过加密资产转移资金或价值的新技术手段促使监管机构和监管人员质疑反洗钱(AML)监管框架的有效性。本文旨在研究欧盟反洗钱立法的最新发展--直至 2021 年的反洗钱一揽子计划--尤其侧重于银行的内部治理义务。设计/方法/方法该分析基于法律教条主义方法,因此通过对当前和即将出台的欧盟政策和立法进行批判性研究,同时考虑到相关文献和判例法。研究结果最近的监管发展,最终形成了反洗钱法规,通过内部治理程序加强了洗钱风险评估-洗钱风险暴露-洗钱风险管理之间的因果联系。为应对加密资产带来的新挑战,反洗钱监管的主要策略之一是对银行实施更加严格和苛刻的反洗钱风险管理。特别是,本文探讨了风险评估将如何形成管理洗钱风险所需的组织程序、流程和内部职能。
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引用次数: 0
Reorienting the lens – towards a new research agenda on the lived experiences of money laundering prevention officers 调整视角--制定关于预防洗钱官员生活经历的新研究议程
IF 1.1 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.1108/jmlc-04-2024-0062
Mario Menz

Purpose

This paper aims to propose a new research agenda that integrates the often-overlooked insights and experiences of compliance professionals into anti-money laundering (AML) policy formulation and academic research. It seeks to highlight the importance of a bottom-up approach in developing AML strategies that are not only theoretically robust but also practically effective and grounded in real-world application.

Design/methodology/approach

Using a comprehensive literature review and theoretical analysis, this study outlines six broad research focus areas. These areas are explored through the lens of existing theoretical frameworks that underscore the significance of practical insights, interdisciplinary collaboration and adaptive policymaking in enhancing AML efforts.

Findings

This paper highlights a significant gap in current AML research and policymaking, namely, the underrepresentation of compliance professionals’ perspectives. It argues that integrating these frontline insights can lead to more nuanced and effective approach to AML.

Practical implications

Adopting the proposed research agenda could significantly enhance the practical applicability of AML policies, leading to more effective prevention and detection of financial crimes. It encourages the development of support systems for compliance professionals, fostering a workforce that is both competent and resilient.

Social implications

By promoting a more inclusive and practice-based approach to AML policymaking, this paper advocates for a societal shift in how money laundering is tackled.

Originality/value

This paper contributes to the AML discourse by proposing a shift towards a more inclusive research and policymaking paradigm that values the contributions of compliance professionals. It extends the existing literature by suggesting a comprehensive framework for bridging these divides, thereby offering a novel perspective on enhancing the effectiveness of AML strategies.

目的本文旨在提出一项新的研究议程,将合规专业人员经常被忽视的见解和经验纳入反洗钱(AML)政策制定和学术研究中。本研究通过全面的文献综述和理论分析,概述了六大研究重点领域。本文强调了当前反洗钱研究和政策制定中的一个重大缺陷,即合规专业人员的观点代表性不足。本文认为,结合这些一线人员的见解,可以为反洗钱工作提供更细致、更有效的方法。实际意义采用建议的研究议程可以大大提高反洗钱政策的实际适用性,从而更有效地预防和侦查金融犯罪。社会意义通过促进反洗钱政策制定采用更具包容性和以实践为基础的方法,本文倡导社会转变应对洗钱问题的方式。原创性/价值本文通过提出转向更具包容性的研究和政策制定范式,重视合规专业人员的贡献,为反洗钱讨论做出了贡献。它扩展了现有文献,提出了一个弥合这些分歧的综合框架,从而为提高反洗钱战略的有效性提供了一个新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
Limitation on payment by cash to combat money laundering: a comparative assessment of the laws of Mauritius and France 限制现金支付以打击洗钱:毛里求斯和法国法律的比较评估
IF 1.1 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1108/jmlc-04-2024-0064
Bhavna Mahadew

Purpose

The purpose of this article is to review the legislation on limitation on cash payment from a comparative perspective with France. This legal provision has been the subject of inconsistency and lack of clarity for the past two decades.

Design/methodology/approach

This paper uses a doctrinal legal research technique based on an analysis of the law and how it is interpreted in relation to Mauritius's prohibition on cash payments. Section 5 of the FIAMLA 2002 is interpreted in large part by this assessment using legal precedents from the Supreme Court and other Mauritius judicial authorities. France has been chosen as the comparative jurisdiction as it has well-defined legal framework on cash payment limitations in Europe.

Findings

The Mauritian judiciary has played a far more significant and active role than the French judiciary. A cursory search reveals a dearth of case law concerning the interpretation of the pertinent sections of the French Monetary and Financial Code concerning the prohibition on cash payments. The French legal system places more emphasis on the kinds of transactions that are exempt, whereas the Mauritius system places more attention on the entities that are exempt, such as banks and other financial organisations.

Originality/value

This paper fills in the gap that exists on legal interpretation of legislation on limitation on payment by cash in Mauritius. It originally contributes to legal literature on money laundering by undertaking a comparison between Mauritius and France for the benefits of students and researchers around the world.

本文旨在从与法国比较的角度,对有关现金支付限制的立法进行回顾。设计/方法/途径本文在分析毛里求斯禁止现金支付的法律及其解释的基础上,采用了理论法律研究技术。本评估使用最高法院和毛里求斯其他司法机构的法律先例对《2002 年反洗钱法》第 5 条进行了解释。之所以选择法国作为比较司法管辖区,是因为法国在欧洲有明确的现金支付限制法律框架。粗略搜索一下就会发现,有关《法国货币与金融法典》中禁止现金支付相关条款的解释的判例法非常缺乏。法国的法律体系更强调免责交易的种类,而毛里求斯的体系则更关注免责实体,如银行和其他金融组织。 原创性/价值 本文填补了毛里求斯在限制现金支付立法的法律解释方面存在的空白。本文通过对毛里求斯和法国进行比较,为有关洗钱问题的法律文献做出了原创性贡献,供世界各地的学生和研究人员参考。
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引用次数: 0
The role of freight forwarding companies in detecting and investigating trade-based money laundering 货运代理公司在侦查和调查基于贸易的洗钱活动中的作用
IF 1.1 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1108/jmlc-04-2024-0069
Ilse Maritha Makkink, Blanche Steyn, Hannes Christo Bezuidenhout

Purpose

This study aims to investigate the role of freight forwarding companies in detecting and reporting trade-based money laundering. The proximity of freight forwarding companies to shipping-related trade-based money laundering red flags places them in an ideal position to detect suspicious transactions.

Design/methodology/approach

The study used semi-structured interviews with expert participants in freight forwarding shipping and compliance aspects around freight forwarding. This study focuses on the South African context.

Findings

Freight forwarding companies are well-positioned to detect, investigate and report on trade-based money laundering schemes. However, the companies are not always aware of the guidelines designed to assist in identifying trade-based money laundering schemes. Thus, freight forwarding companies develop internal processes to identify trade anomalies but are often unable to link trade anomalies to illegal financial flows and trade-based money laundering schemes.

Research limitations/implications

The current regulations on money laundering can be extended to freight forwarding companies by the respective regulators for enhanced anti-money laundering protection. This study is limited to freight forwarding companies in a South African context.

Practical implications

Increased awareness among staff in freight forwarding companies can assist them in identifying trade-based money laundering red flags to detect and prevent trade-based money laundering schemes.

Social implications

This paper assists other role players and policymakers in the trade process to create a better awareness of trade-based money laundering. The limited obligations on freight forwarding companies to comply with anti-money laundering regulations lead to a more volunteer-like compliance practice.

Originality/value

To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first paper that offers insight into the role of freight forwarding companies in detecting trade-based money laundering in South Africa.

本研究旨在调查货运代理公司在侦查和报告基于贸易的洗钱活动中的作用。货运代理公司接近与航运有关的贸易洗钱红旗,这使它们处于侦查可疑交易的理想位置。本研究采用半结构式访谈的方式,采访了货运代理航运和货运代理合规方面的专家参与者。研究结果货运代理公司完全有能力发现、调查和报告基于贸易的洗钱计划。然而,这些公司并不总是了解旨在协助识别基于贸易的洗钱计划的指导方针。因此,货运代理公司制定了内部程序来识别贸易异常情况,但往往无法将贸易异常情况与非法资金流动和基于贸易的洗钱计划联系起来。研究局限性/影响各监管机构可将现行的洗钱法规扩展至货运代理公司,以加强反洗钱保护。社会影响本文有助于贸易过程中的其他参与者和政策制定者更好地认识基于贸易的洗钱活动。货运代理公司在遵守反洗钱法规方面的义务有限,这导致了更多自愿遵守法规的做法。独创性/价值据作者所知,这是第一篇深入探讨南非货运代理公司在侦查贸易洗钱活动中的作用的论文。
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引用次数: 0
A research on the Italian fiscal shell companies turnover 意大利财政空壳公司营业额研究
IF 1.1 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1108/jmlc-03-2024-0055
Antonio Pellegrini

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to study the turnover of Italian shell companies (SCs)/missing traders used for tax crimes, a predicate offence of money laundering. This research could be useful for Italian obliged entities to the Anti-Money Laundering Law to detect and report SCs, as soon as possible, to the Financial Intelligence Unit for Italy.

Design/methodology/approach

The author uses a sample of 32 SCs that are present in the Third Penal Section of the Italian Supreme Court in the period 2018–2020, involved in tax crimes and that have presented their balance sheets for two or more years. For SCs, the author computes the averages for: the turnover growth rate from first and the maximum turnover; the years between these two values; and the years in which SCs are active. Moreover, the author verifies if SCs are similar in terms of turnover by studying the relationship between the turnover growth rate and the first turnover and the reduction of turnover standard deviations.

Findings

SCs growth is very high and they reach, on average, their peak in less than three years; SCs are active, on average, for about four years; eventually, SCs exhibit a convergence process in turnover levels.

Originality/value

To the best of the author’s knowledge, there are no studies that analyse the SC turnover.

目的本文旨在研究意大利空壳公司(SC)/失踪商人用于税务犯罪(洗钱的前提罪行)的营业额。这项研究可能有助于意大利《反洗钱法》的义务实体尽快发现空壳公司并向意大利金融情报机构报告。设计/方法/方法作者使用了 2018-2020 年期间在意大利最高法院第三刑事科出现的 32 家空壳公司作为样本,这些空壳公司涉及税务犯罪,并且已经提交了两年或两年以上的资产负债表。对于 SC,作者计算了以下方面的平均值:从第一个营业额和最大营业额开始的营业额增长率;介于这两个值之间的年份;以及 SC 活跃的年份。此外,作者还通过研究营业额增长率与首次营业额之间的关系以及营业额标准偏差的减小,来验证 SC 在营业额方面是否相似。研究结果SC 的增长率非常高,平均不到三年就达到顶峰;SC 的活跃期平均约为四年;最终,SC 在营业额水平上表现出趋同的过程。
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引用次数: 0
Money laundering and terrorist financing risks and democratic governance: a global correlational analysis 洗钱和资助恐怖主义风险与民主治理:全球相关性分析
IF 1.1 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-31 DOI: 10.1108/jmlc-09-2023-0151
Amidu Kalokoh

Purpose

This paper aims to examine the association between money laundering (ML)/terrorist financing (TF) risks (hereafter, money laundering risks) and democratic governance across 117 countries.

Design/methodology/approach

A cross-sectional design was used to examine the association between ML risks and democratic governance by a quantitative approach. The findings are based on annual ratings of 117 countries on ML/TF risks and democracy while controlling for criminality and peace. The data was compiled from the Basel Anti-Money Laundering/Countering Financing Terrorism Risks Index, the Economic Intelligence Unit (Democracy Index), the Global Initiative against Transnational Organized Crimes (Criminality Index) and the Institute for Economics and Peace Index for 2020.

Findings

A multiple linear regression model found a statistically significant negative association between democratic governance and ML risks (B = −0.354, t = −7.454, p = <0.001) and a significant positive association between criminality and ML risks (B = 0.242, t = 2.692, p = 0.008).

Research limitations/implications

A cross-sectional design cannot determine causal inferences and generalization (Levin, 2006). The study only used a year to examine the hypothesis of a negative correlation between ML risks and democratic governance, thus making generalization difficult.

Originality/value

Extant literature examined ML, terrorism and AML diversely. There was a need to estimate the association between ML risks and democratic governance, especially globally, during a global crisis like COVID-19, when democratic principles, such as the rule of law, transparency and accountability, are challenged. Many personnel were laid off, thus limiting supervision for ML and TF. This study presents evidence of this association.

目的 本文旨在研究 117 个国家的洗钱(ML)/资助恐怖主义(TF)风险(以下简称 "洗钱风险")与民主治理之间的关联。研究结果基于 117 个国家在洗钱/资助恐怖主义风险和民主方面的年度评级,同时控制了犯罪率和和平因素。数据来自巴塞尔反洗钱/反恐融资风险指数、经济情报股(民主指数)、打击跨国有组织犯罪全球倡议(犯罪指数)以及经济与和平研究所 2020 年指数。研究结果多元线性回归模型发现,民主治理与洗钱风险之间存在显著的负相关(B = -0.354,t = -7.454,p = 0.001),犯罪率与洗钱风险之间存在显著的正相关(B = 0.242,t = 2.692,p = 0.008)。该研究只用了一年的时间来检验洗钱风险与民主治理之间负相关的假设,因此很难进行推广。有必要对洗钱风险与民主治理之间的关联进行估计,尤其是在 COVID-19 这样的全球危机期间,民主原则(如法治、透明度和问责制)受到挑战。许多人员被解雇,从而限制了对 ML 和 TF 的监督。本研究提供了这种关联的证据。
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Journal of Money Laundering Control
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