{"title":"特许经营对金融分析师盈利预测可靠性的影响:来自美国餐饮上市公司的证据","authors":"Jaehee Gim, Seunghun Shin, Hyejo Hailey Shin","doi":"10.1177/13548166241233775","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Unlike institutional investors, who have expertise in collecting and analyzing firm information to predict firms’ future performance, individual investors have a limited ability to conduct this task. Therefore, individual investors are known to commonly rely on financial analysts’ earnings forecasts, which are freely available to them. However, as demonstrated by numerous studies, financial analysts’ forecasts are not always accurate and free from bias. Drawing on screening theory and the innate financial and structural differences between highly franchised restaurants and their less franchised peers, the current study showed that analysts provide more accurate and less optimistically biased forecasts for the former than the latter. However, the positive impact of an additional number of analysts on the accuracy of forecasts was weaker for the former than the latter. The current study can help individual investors in the restaurant industry improve their understanding of financial analysts’ earnings forecasts and make better-informed investment decisions.","PeriodicalId":23204,"journal":{"name":"Tourism Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Effect of franchising on the reliability of financial analysts’ earnings forecasts: Evidence from publicly traded US restaurant firms\",\"authors\":\"Jaehee Gim, Seunghun Shin, Hyejo Hailey Shin\",\"doi\":\"10.1177/13548166241233775\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Unlike institutional investors, who have expertise in collecting and analyzing firm information to predict firms’ future performance, individual investors have a limited ability to conduct this task. Therefore, individual investors are known to commonly rely on financial analysts’ earnings forecasts, which are freely available to them. However, as demonstrated by numerous studies, financial analysts’ forecasts are not always accurate and free from bias. Drawing on screening theory and the innate financial and structural differences between highly franchised restaurants and their less franchised peers, the current study showed that analysts provide more accurate and less optimistically biased forecasts for the former than the latter. However, the positive impact of an additional number of analysts on the accuracy of forecasts was weaker for the former than the latter. The current study can help individual investors in the restaurant industry improve their understanding of financial analysts’ earnings forecasts and make better-informed investment decisions.\",\"PeriodicalId\":23204,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Tourism Economics\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-02-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Tourism Economics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1177/13548166241233775\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"管理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Tourism Economics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1177/13548166241233775","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Effect of franchising on the reliability of financial analysts’ earnings forecasts: Evidence from publicly traded US restaurant firms
Unlike institutional investors, who have expertise in collecting and analyzing firm information to predict firms’ future performance, individual investors have a limited ability to conduct this task. Therefore, individual investors are known to commonly rely on financial analysts’ earnings forecasts, which are freely available to them. However, as demonstrated by numerous studies, financial analysts’ forecasts are not always accurate and free from bias. Drawing on screening theory and the innate financial and structural differences between highly franchised restaurants and their less franchised peers, the current study showed that analysts provide more accurate and less optimistically biased forecasts for the former than the latter. However, the positive impact of an additional number of analysts on the accuracy of forecasts was weaker for the former than the latter. The current study can help individual investors in the restaurant industry improve their understanding of financial analysts’ earnings forecasts and make better-informed investment decisions.
期刊介绍:
Tourism Economics, published quarterly, covers the business aspects of tourism in the wider context. It takes account of constraints on development, such as social and community interests and the sustainable use of tourism and recreation resources, and inputs into the production process. The definition of tourism used includes tourist trips taken for all purposes, embracing both stay and day visitors. Articles address the components of the tourism product (accommodation; restaurants; merchandizing; attractions; transport; entertainment; tourist activities); and the economic organization of tourism at micro and macro levels (market structure; role of public/private sectors; community interests; strategic planning; marketing; finance; economic development).