评估 AquaCrop 模型在约旦河谷土壤盐度方面的性能

Luma Hamdi, Ayman Suleiman
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摘要

随着时间的推移,应用决策支持系统来模拟盐碱化和干旱的需求日益增加,尤其是在约旦这样的干旱和半干旱地区,盐碱化造成的土地退化威胁备受关注。 这项研究的主要目的是评估 AquaCrop 模型对约旦河谷土壤盐碱化的响应。共进行了两次实验,一次在田间,另一次在温室。三个水盐度水平(S):S1(对照 = 2 dS m-1)、S2(4 dS m-1)和 S3(8 dS m-1),三种灌溉量(R):R1(对照 = 120%)、R2(100%)和 R3(70%)。温室中使用了四级盐水(S):S1(对照=0.65)、(4)S2、(8)S3 和(10)dS m-1)S4。在这两项实验中,谷物产量和地上生物量都是在收获后测量的。在生长季节,每三周测量一次土壤盐度和 pH 值,以监测土壤盐碱化情况。结果表明,校准和验证的最终田间谷物产量良好,一致指数(d)为 0.96。校准和验证的效率因子(E)分别为 0.86 和 0.87,归一化均方根误差(NRMSE)小于 4%。 校准和验证的田间生物量 d-index 分别为 0.87 和 0.71,E 分别为 0.65 和 0.45。温室试验的结果不尽人意。 在校准和验证中,谷物产量的 d 指数分别为 0.84 和 0.88,而生物量的结果则较差。本研究使用的所有统计标准都表明,该模型可以在田间正确模拟谷物产量和生物量,但生物量统计结果的准确性较低。总之,建议在约旦河谷使用 AquaCrop 进行土壤盐碱化管理。
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Evaluating the Performance of the AquaCrop Model to Soil Salinity in Jordan Valley
The demand to apply a decision support system to simulate salinity and drought is increasing with time, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions like Jordan, where the threat of land degradation by salinization is of high concern.   The main objective of this research was to evaluate the response of the AquaCrop model to soil salinity in Jordan Valley. Two experiments were conducted, one at the field and the other at the greenhouse. Three water salinity levels (S): S1 (control = 2 dS m−1), S2 (4 dS m−1), and S3 (8 dS m−1) with three irrigation amounts (R): R1 (control = 120%), R2 (100%), and R3 (70%) were used in the field. Four levels of saline water (S):S1 (control =0.65), (4) S2, (8) S3, and (10) dS m-1) S4 were used in the greenhouse. In both experiments, grain yield, and aboveground biomass were measured after harvesting. Soil salinity and pH were measured every three weeks during the growing season to monitor soil salinization. Results showed that the final field grain yield was good in calibration and validation, with a 0.96 agreement index (d). The efficiency factor (E) was 0.86 and 0.87 for calibration and validation, respectively, while the normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) was less than 4 %.  Field biomass d-index of 0.87 and 0.71 and E of 0.65 and 0.45 for Calibration and Validation were found, respectively. In the greenhouse experiment, the results were less satisfactory.  Grain yield showed d-index of 0.84 and 0.88 in calibration and validation, respectively, while biomass showed poor results. All statistical criteria used in this research indicated that the model can simulate grain yield and biomass properly in the field, however, biomass statistical results were less accurate. Overall it is recommended, to use AquaCrop for soil salinity management in Jordan Valley.
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