作为宏观审慎货币政策工具的汇率对冲存款账户

Halil Tunali, Duygu Kalkay
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摘要

目的--2008 年全球金融危机爆发后,各国央行纷纷采取宏观自由裁量的货币政策,以防止国民经济宏观经济指标的脆弱性可能对金融稳定造成的风险。因此,2021 年 12 月,土耳其中央银行启动了一项全面的货币政策进程,为对抗高通胀和高汇率提供长期和永久的回报,并推出了 "货币保护存款 "工具,以鼓励和支持实名制人士以土耳其里拉作为投资首选。里拉化进程和汇率保护存款旨在为中期价格稳定做出持久贡献。本研究将评估 2021-2023 年期间汇率保护存款(ERD)计划的目的及其对宏观经济指标的影响。方法--在解释了库克群岛货币市场的实施、特点和必要性之后,评估库克群岛货币市场的使用率对 2021 年 12 月至 2023 年 12 月期间汇率和利率的影响。研究结果 - 随着旨在通过支持土耳其里拉定期存款来加强宏观金融稳定的土耳其里拉货币政策的实施,土耳其里拉货币政策的使用率被认为通过提高政策利率、增加对土耳其里拉工具的需求以及贷款和存款利率的共同上升,促进了货币传导机制的加强。土耳其里拉存款呈上升趋势,而外汇保值存款则呈下降趋势。结论--据观察,《土耳其货币政策》的实施推动了里拉升值进程,并在一定程度上促进了 2021 年 12 月至 2023 年 7 月期间的汇率回升:货币保护存款、宏观审慎货币政策、汇率JEL Codes:H30, E52, F31
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Exchange rate hedged deposit account as a macroprudential monetary policy instrument
Purpose - In the aftermath of the 2008 global financial crisis, central banks have resorted to macro discretionary monetary policies in order to prevent the risks that the fragility of macroeconomic indicators in national economies may pose on financial stability. Accordingly, in December 2021, the CBRT initiated a comprehensive monetary policy process that will provide long-term and permanent returns in the fight against high inflation and high exchange rates, and introduced the "Currency Protected Deposit" instrument to encourage and support real persons to make their investment preferences in TL. The liraization process and exchange rate-protected deposits are aimed to make a lasting contribution to price stability in the medium term. In this study, the purpose of the Exchange Rate Protected Deposit (ERD) scheme and its impact on macroeconomic indicators will be evaluated for the 2021-2023 period. Methodology - After explaining the implementation, characteristics and the need for the KKM, the impact of the utilization rate of the KKM on the exchange rate and interest rates in the December 2021-December 2023 period is evaluated.. Findings - With the KKM implementation, which aims to contribute to strengthening macro financial stability by supporting Turkish lira time deposits, the utilization rate of the KKM is seen to have contributed to the strengthening of the monetary transmission mechanism through the increase in the policy rate, the increase in the demand for Turkish lira instruments, and the rise in loan and deposit rates together. Turkish lira deposits are on the rise while FX-protected deposits are on the decline. Conclusion - It is observed that the KKM' implementation contributed to the lira appreciation process and partially contributed to the recovery in exchange rates between December 2021 and July 2023. Keywords: Currency protected deposit, macroprudential monetary policy, exchange rate JEL Codes: H30, E52, F31
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