机器人对国内移民的影响:来自中国的证据

IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of Regional Science Pub Date : 2024-02-20 DOI:10.1111/jors.12691
Xiaoyu Bian, Guangsu Zhou
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引用次数: 0

摘要

过去十年,中国经历了工业机器人的蓬勃发展。在机器人化对劳动力市场的冲击下,人口迁移是实现经济再平衡的重要途径。虽然许多研究都探讨了机器人化对自动化先进国家劳动力市场的影响,但很少有研究揭示新兴市场的情况。我们就工业机器人对中国城市间人口迁移的影响提供了经验证据。我们发现,工业机器人的采用会减少人口流入,从而对人口净流入迁移产生显著的负面影响,而对人口流出则影响甚微。人口流入的减少主要集中在年轻、受教育程度较低和从事制造业的低技能移民中,因为面对工业机器人,他们更有可能遭遇失业和工资下降。对迁移成本的分析表明,工业机器人对人口流入的负面影响随着迁移距离的延长、生活成本的提高以及中国户口登记制度造成的制度性准入障碍的增加而增加。
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The effects of robots on internal migration: Evidence from China

China has experienced a boom of industrial robots in the past decade. Under the shock of robotization on labor market, migration is a critical way to rebalance the economy. While many studies have investigated the influence of robotization on labor market in the automation-advanced countries, few works shed light on the situation in the emerging market. We provide empirical evidence on the effect of industrial robots on intercity migration in China. We find that, industrial robot adoption has a significant negative effect on the net inflow migration by reducing population inflows, while has little effect on population outflows. The decline in population inflows is concentrated among low-skilled migrants who are younger, less educated and in manufacturing sectors, because they are more likely to experience unemployment and wage declines in the face of industrial robots. The analysis of migration cost demonstrates that the negative impact of industrial robots on population inflows increases with the longer migration distances, higher living costs, and greater institutional entry barriers caused by Hukou Registration System in China.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.90
自引率
6.70%
发文量
54
期刊介绍: The Journal of Regional Science (JRS) publishes original analytical research at the intersection of economics and quantitative geography. Since 1958, the JRS has published leading contributions to urban and regional thought including rigorous methodological contributions and seminal theoretical pieces. The JRS is one of the most highly cited journals in urban and regional research, planning, geography, and the environment. The JRS publishes work that advances our understanding of the geographic dimensions of urban and regional economies, human settlements, and policies related to cities and regions.
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