考虑预防性维护和学习遗忘效应的基于能量的可用性保证政策

Xiaoliang He, Chun Su
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对于能源生产系统而言,确保可靠运行和最大产出至关重要。传统的基于时间的可用性(TBA)保修政策往往会忽略一些因素,如能量损失和维护活动中获得的经验。本文提出了一种创新的保修政策,重点关注基于能量的可用性(EBA),其中考虑了不完全预防性维护(IPM)和最小修复(MR),并采用混合危险率模型来描述预防性维护的效果。此外,还考虑了维护过程中的学习遗忘效应。在此基础上,建立了六种单目标和多目标模型,并分别采用遗传算法(GA)和非支配排序遗传算法-II(NSGA-II)进行求解。为说明所提保修策略的有效性,以风力涡轮机齿轮箱为例进行了数值计算。结果表明,建议的 EBA 保证政策比 TBA 政策多获得约 0.29% 的能量。与单目标模型相比,多目标模型可以提供更多可选择的维护方案。此外,敏感性分析表明,考虑到学习遗忘效应,齿轮箱可以获得更高的 EBA 值和更低的保修成本。
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Energy-based availability warranty policy with considering preventive maintenance and learning-forgetting effect
Ensuring reliable operation and maximum the output is crucial for energy production systems. Traditional time-based availability (TBA) warranty policies often overlook some factors, such as energy loss and the experience gained during the maintenance activities. In this paper, an innovative warranty policy which focuses on the energy-based availability (EBA) is proposed, where imperfect preventive maintenance (IPM) and minimal repair (MR) are taken into account, and hybrid hazard rate model is adopted to describe the effect of preventive maintenance. In addition, the learning-forgetting effect during the maintenance is considered. On this basis, six types of single-objective and multi-objective models are established, and they are solved by genetic algorithm (GA) and non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II (NSGA-II), respectively. To illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed warranty policy, a numerical case of wind turbine gearbox is conducted. The results show that the proposed EBA warranty policy can gain around 0.29% energy more than TBA policy. Compared to single-objective models, multi-objective models can provide more selectable maintenance options. Additionally, sensitivity analysis indicates that by considering the learning-forgetting effect, the gearbox can achieve higher EBA and lower warranty cost.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.50
自引率
19.00%
发文量
81
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Risk and Reliability is for researchers and practitioners who are involved in the field of risk analysis and reliability engineering. The remit of the Journal covers concepts, theories, principles, approaches, methods and models for the proper understanding, assessment, characterisation and management of the risk and reliability of engineering systems. The journal welcomes papers which are based on mathematical and probabilistic analysis, simulation and/or optimisation, as well as works highlighting conceptual and managerial issues. Papers that provide perspectives on current practices and methods, and how to improve these, are also welcome
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