货币政策冲击对新西兰通货膨胀和产出的影响*

IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Economic Record Pub Date : 2024-02-25 DOI:10.1111/1475-4932.12792
Robert Kirkby, Huong Ngoc Vu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们将新西兰的货币政策冲击确定为货币政策公告前后整个收益率曲线的 1 天变化。这些冲击对通货膨胀和产出的影响是通过本地函数预测估算出来的。我们发现,货币政策冲击的影响在短期内是标准的,但在长期内可能有所不同。小型开放经济体中的货币政策冲击与大型经济体中的货币政策冲击效果相似,但非常规货币政策公告对长期利率的影响有限。对新西兰自 1997 年以来采用的前瞻性指导进行核算非常重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Impacts of Monetary Policy Shocks on Inflation and Output in New Zealand*

We identify monetary policy shocks in New Zealand as 1-day changes in the whole yield curve around monetary policy announcements. The impacts of these shocks on inflation and output are estimated using functional local projections. We find that the effects of monetary policy shocks are standard in the short run but might be different in the long run. Monetary policy shocks in a small open economy have similar effects as in a large economy, except that unconventional monetary policy announcements have limited impact on long-term interest rates. Accounting for forward guidance, used in New Zealand since 1997, is important.

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来源期刊
Economic Record
Economic Record ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
16.70%
发文量
51
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Economic Society of Australia, the Economic Record is intended to act as a vehicle for the communication of advances in knowledge and understanding in economics. It publishes papers in the theoretical, applied and policy areas of economics and provides a forum for research on the Australian economy. It also publishes surveys in economics and book reviews to facilitate the dissemination of knowledge.
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