{"title":"货币政策冲击对新西兰通货膨胀和产出的影响*","authors":"Robert Kirkby, Huong Ngoc Vu","doi":"10.1111/1475-4932.12792","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>We identify monetary policy shocks in New Zealand as 1-day changes in the whole yield curve around monetary policy announcements. The impacts of these shocks on inflation and output are estimated using functional local projections. We find that the effects of monetary policy shocks are standard in the short run but might be different in the long run. Monetary policy shocks in a small open economy have similar effects as in a large economy, except that unconventional monetary policy announcements have limited impact on long-term interest rates. Accounting for forward guidance, used in New Zealand since 1997, is important.</p>","PeriodicalId":47484,"journal":{"name":"Economic Record","volume":"100 329","pages":"160-187"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1000,"publicationDate":"2024-02-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1475-4932.12792","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Impacts of Monetary Policy Shocks on Inflation and Output in New Zealand*\",\"authors\":\"Robert Kirkby, Huong Ngoc Vu\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/1475-4932.12792\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>We identify monetary policy shocks in New Zealand as 1-day changes in the whole yield curve around monetary policy announcements. The impacts of these shocks on inflation and output are estimated using functional local projections. We find that the effects of monetary policy shocks are standard in the short run but might be different in the long run. Monetary policy shocks in a small open economy have similar effects as in a large economy, except that unconventional monetary policy announcements have limited impact on long-term interest rates. Accounting for forward guidance, used in New Zealand since 1997, is important.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":47484,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Economic Record\",\"volume\":\"100 329\",\"pages\":\"160-187\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-02-25\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1475-4932.12792\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Economic Record\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1475-4932.12792\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economic Record","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1475-4932.12792","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Impacts of Monetary Policy Shocks on Inflation and Output in New Zealand*
We identify monetary policy shocks in New Zealand as 1-day changes in the whole yield curve around monetary policy announcements. The impacts of these shocks on inflation and output are estimated using functional local projections. We find that the effects of monetary policy shocks are standard in the short run but might be different in the long run. Monetary policy shocks in a small open economy have similar effects as in a large economy, except that unconventional monetary policy announcements have limited impact on long-term interest rates. Accounting for forward guidance, used in New Zealand since 1997, is important.
期刊介绍:
Published on behalf of the Economic Society of Australia, the Economic Record is intended to act as a vehicle for the communication of advances in knowledge and understanding in economics. It publishes papers in the theoretical, applied and policy areas of economics and provides a forum for research on the Australian economy. It also publishes surveys in economics and book reviews to facilitate the dissemination of knowledge.