2020年和1998年超强梅雨期水汽输送特征和环流异常的分析与比较*

IF 6.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Weather and Climate Extremes Pub Date : 2024-02-26 DOI:10.1016/j.wace.2024.100654
Hao Yang , Chunguang Cui , Cuihong Wu , Yan Wang , Xiaofang Wang , Wen Zhou , Jingyu Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2020 年和 1998 年是近几十年来最强的梅雨年。比较了 2020 年和 1998 年的超强梅雨降水和水汽源特征,研究了大气环流异常和强迫因子 SST。(1)2020 年梅雨期持续时间、累计降水量和暴雨日数均大于 1998 年,为 1961 年以来的最高值。2020 年梅雨期经历了 11 次暴雨过程。1998 年出现了典型的 "第二梅雨 "现象,且 1998 年暴雨区的位置比 2020 年偏南(2)2020 年和 1998 年孟加拉湾-中国南海(BOB-SCS)对水汽总供应量的贡献率分别为 43.0%和 42.0%,远高于气候平均值(25.5%)。在 2020 年,提供最多水汽的来源是 BOB、SCS 和太平洋中部,而在 1998 年则是阿拉伯海、BOB 和太平洋西部。(3)2020 年和 1998 年梅雨期大气环流模式 "两脊一槽 "位置不同。垂直结构分析显示,1998 年暴雨区上方的比湿强度弱于 2020 年,低层辐合带更靠南,强度不如 2020 年。1998 年西太平洋副热带高压和西北太平洋反气旋的位置都比 2020 年偏南,导致西南气流和雨带的位置偏南。需要指出的是,1998 年和 2020 年赤道中东太平洋和热带印度洋的 SST 异常分别对 WNPAC 异常做出了重要贡献。
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Analysis and comparison of water vapor transport features and circulation anomalies during the super-strong Meiyu period of 2020 and 1998*

2020 and 1998 are the strongest Meiyu years in recent decades. The characteristics of the super-strong Meiyu precipitation and water vapor sources in 2020 and 1998 were compared, and the atmospheric circulation anomalies and the forcing factor SST were examined. (1) In 2020, the Meiyu duration, accumulated precipitation, and number of rainstorm days were greater than in 1998, and the highest since 1961. The Meiyu period in 2020 experienced 11 rainstorm processes. In 1998, a typical “second Meiyu” phenomenon occurred, and the area of heavy rainfall in 1998 was located further southward than that in 2020 (2) The contribution of the Bay of Bengal-South China Sea (BOB-SCS) to the total supply of water vapor in 2020 and 1998 was 43.0% and 42.0%, respectively, i.e., much higher than that of the climatological mean (25.5%). In 2020, the sources that provide most water vapor were the BOB, SCS, and central Pacific Ocean, while in 1998 were the Arabian Sea, BOB, and the western Pacific Ocean. (3) During the Meiyu period in 2020 and 1998, the position of atmospheric circulation pattern “two ridges and one trough” are different. Analysis of the vertical structure revealed that the specific humidity intensity above the area of heavy rainfall in 1998 was weaker than that in 2020, and the low-level convergence zone was further south and not as strong as in 2020. The positions of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) and the western North Pacific anticyclone (WNPAC) in 1998 were both further south than those in 2020, which resulted in the more southerly locations of the southwesterly jet stream and rain belt. It should be pointed out that, the important contributions of the SST anomalies in the equatorial central eastern Pacific and the tropical Indian Ocean to the anomalous WNPAC in 1998 and 2020, respectively.

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来源期刊
Weather and Climate Extremes
Weather and Climate Extremes Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
11.00
自引率
7.50%
发文量
102
审稿时长
33 weeks
期刊介绍: Weather and Climate Extremes Target Audience: Academics Decision makers International development agencies Non-governmental organizations (NGOs) Civil society Focus Areas: Research in weather and climate extremes Monitoring and early warning systems Assessment of vulnerability and impacts Developing and implementing intervention policies Effective risk management and adaptation practices Engagement of local communities in adopting coping strategies Information and communication strategies tailored to local and regional needs and circumstances
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