政治代表的年龄差距:比较地方选举和全国选举

IF 2.9 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI:10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102763
Josefina Sipinen , Jana Belschner , Brittany Anlar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文比较了地方政治和国家政治中候选人年龄与政治选择之间的关系。在哪个层面上,年轻候选人更有可能被政党选中并被选民选中?通过使用芬兰 2011 年至 2021 年期间超过 10 万名候选人的登记数据,我们检验了两个相互竞争的假设:与传统政治代表管道理论相关的 "垫脚石 "假设,以及代表非等级政治生涯方式的 "降落伞 "假设。我们的研究结果为后一种假设提供了更多支持。虽然全国性选举的竞争更加激烈,但参加这些竞选的年轻候选人却相对较多。我们还发现,在市政选举中,年轻候选人的选举劣势略大于全国选举。根据选举调查数据,我们发现这是由于选民中的年龄亲和力效应,即资深选民对候选人的偏好具有更大的权重。
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Age gaps in political representation: Comparing local and national elections

This article compares the relationship between candidate age and political selection on the local and national level of politics. On which level are young candidates more likely to be selected by parties and elected by voters? Using register data from Finland, covering over 100,000 candidates from 2011 to 2021, we test two competing hypotheses: the “stepping stone” hypothesis relating to the traditional pipeline theory of political representation, and the “parachute” hypothesis, which represents a non-hierarchical approach to political careers. Our findings provide slightly more support for the latter hypothesis. While national elections are more competitive, comparatively more young candidates are running in these contests. We also find that the electoral disadvantage for young candidates is slightly larger in municipal than in national elections. Based on election survey data, we show that is this due to age affinity effects within the electorate, where senior voters’ candidate preferences have greater weight.

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来源期刊
Electoral Studies
Electoral Studies POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
13.00%
发文量
82
审稿时长
67 days
期刊介绍: Electoral Studies is an international journal covering all aspects of voting, the central act in the democratic process. Political scientists, economists, sociologists, game theorists, geographers, contemporary historians and lawyers have common, and overlapping, interests in what causes voters to act as they do, and the consequences. Electoral Studies provides a forum for these diverse approaches. It publishes fully refereed papers, both theoretical and empirical, on such topics as relationships between votes and seats, and between election outcomes and politicians reactions; historical, sociological, or geographical correlates of voting behaviour; rational choice analysis of political acts, and critiques of such analyses.
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