在撒哈拉以南非洲旱地扑灭森林火灾:布基纳法索的准实验证据

IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY American Journal of Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2024-02-27 DOI:10.1111/ajae.12464
Tung Nguyen Huy, Guigonan Serge Adjognon, Daan van Soest
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引用次数: 0

摘要

森林火灾是撒哈拉以南非洲干旱地区森林砍伐和森林退化的主要驱动因素之一。我们利用有关森林火灾和剩余树木覆盖率的遥感数据来估算一个旨在减少布基纳法索干旱地区 12 个受保护森林火灾发生率的项目的效果。该项目由两个部分组成,分别在目标森林周围的村庄实施:一个是旨在提高社区对森林火灾有害影响的认识的活动,另一个是支持建立和维护森林防火基础设施的项目。通过使用合成控制法,我们发现该项目使平均森林网格单元在火灾高发月份--农忙季节末期的 11 月份--被发现着火的天数总体减少了 35%$$ 35\% $$。然而,这种影响是短暂的(因为在计划实施的前 4 年中,只有 11 月份的火灾发生率有所下降),而且森林火灾发生率的总体下降幅度也不足以导致植被覆盖率的明显增加。随后,我们试图揭示其背后的机制,以揭示该项目哪些部分是有效的,同时了解如何改进该项目。
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Combatting forest fires in the drylands of Sub-Saharan Africa: Quasi-experimental evidence from Burkina Faso

Forest fires are among the main drivers of deforestation and forest degradation in the drylands of Sub-Saharan Africa. We use remote sensing data on forest fires and remaining tree cover to estimate the effectiveness of a project targeted at reducing fire incidences in 12 protected forests in arid Burkina Faso. The project consisted of two components that were implemented in the villages surrounding the target forests: a campaign aimed at raising community awareness about the detrimental effects of forest fires, and a program to support establishing and maintaining forest fire prevention infrastructures. Using the synthetic control method, we find that the project resulted in an overall reduction of 35 % in the number of days on which an average forest grid cell was detected to be on fire in the month of the year when fires tend to be most prevalent—November, at the very end of the agricultural season. This impact is, however, short lived (as the reduction only occurred in the November months in the first 4 years of the program), and the overall reduction in forest fire occurrences was not sufficiently large to result in a detectable increase in vegetation cover. We then try to uncover the underlying mechanisms to shed light on which of the project's components were effective to also learn how the program can be improved.

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来源期刊
American Journal of Agricultural Economics
American Journal of Agricultural Economics 管理科学-农业经济与政策
CiteScore
9.10
自引率
4.80%
发文量
77
审稿时长
12-24 weeks
期刊介绍: The American Journal of Agricultural Economics provides a forum for creative and scholarly work on the economics of agriculture and food, natural resources and the environment, and rural and community development throughout the world. Papers should relate to one of these areas, should have a problem orientation, and should demonstrate originality and innovation in analysis, methods, or application. Analyses of problems pertinent to research, extension, and teaching are equally encouraged, as is interdisciplinary research with a significant economic component. Review articles that offer a comprehensive and insightful survey of a relevant subject, consistent with the scope of the Journal as discussed above, will also be considered. All articles published, regardless of their nature, will be held to the same set of scholarly standards.
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