依赖菜单的风险态度：理论与证据

IF 16.4 1区化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI:10.1007/s11166-023-09423-1

Zhuo Chen, Russell Golman, Jason Somerville

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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们检验了一种新的依赖菜单的风险态度模式，这种模式构成了近期风险选择理论的基础：扩大选择集中彩票的潜在奖品范围是否会导致人们过度重视这些奖品并做出更高风险的选择？与我们的假设相反，我们没有发现这种菜单效应的证据。改变精算不利的高风险彩票所提供的潜在奖金，并不会影响人们选择不同的中等风险赌博，而选择更安全的替代方案的可能性。我们得出的有力的无效结果使人们对菜单依赖风险偏好的著名理论产生了怀疑。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Menu-dependent risk attitudes: Theory and evidence

We test for a novel pattern of menu-dependent risk attitudes that forms the basis of recent theories of risky choice: Does expanding the range of potential prizes from lotteries in a choice set lead people to overweight those prizes and make riskier choices? Contrary to our hypothesis, we find no evidence of such a menu effect. Varying the potential prize offered by an actuarially unfavorable, high-risk lottery does not affect the likelihood of choosing a different, moderate-risk gamble in favor of a safer alternative. Our well-powered null results cast doubt on prominent theories of menu-dependent risk preferences.

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来源期刊

Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合

CiteScore

31.40

自引率

1.10%

发文量

312

审稿时长

2 months

期刊介绍： Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.