超越年平均值:季节性气温对美国各县就业增长的影响

IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Journal of Environmental Economics and Management Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI:10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102946
Ha Minh Nguyen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文利用 1990 年至 2021 年期间的季度气温和就业数据,发现了美国各县季节性气温影响的细微证据:冬季气温升高会增加私营部门的就业增长,而夏季气温升高则会减少就业增长。气温较高对秋季和春季等温和季节的影响在统计上并不显著。此外,夏季气温升高的负面影响持续存在,而冬季气温升高的正面影响则较为短暂。夏季气温升高的负面影响在许多行业都普遍存在且持续存在:"建筑业 "和 "休闲与酒店业 "最为显著,"贸易、运输与公用事业 "和 "金融活动 "也是如此。相比之下,冬季变暖的积极影响则不那么普遍。近几十年来,炎热夏季对就业的影响更为严重。
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Beyond the annual averages: Impact of seasonal temperature on employment growth in US counties

Using quarterly temperature and employment data between 1990 and 2021, this paper uncovers nuanced evidence on the impact of seasonal temperature within US counties: higher winter temperature increases private sector employment growth while higher summer temperature decreases it. The impacts of higher temperature in milder seasons, fall and spring, are statistically insignificant. Moreover, the negative impact of higher summer temperature persists while the positive impact of higher temperature in the winter is more short-lived. The negative effects of a hotter summer are pervasive and persistent in many sectors: most significantly in “Construction” and “Leisure and Hospitality” but also in “Trade, Transport, and Utilities” and “Financial Activities”. In contrast, the positive effects of a warmer winter are less pervasive. The employment effect of a hotter summer has been more severe in recent decades.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.00
自引率
4.30%
发文量
91
期刊介绍: The Journal of Environmental Economics and Management publishes theoretical and empirical papers devoted to specific natural resources and environmental issues. For consideration, papers should (1) contain a substantial element embodying the linkage between economic systems and environmental and natural resources systems or (2) be of substantial importance in understanding the management and/or social control of the economy in its relations with the natural environment. Although the general orientation of the journal is toward economics, interdisciplinary papers by researchers in other fields of interest to resource and environmental economists will be welcomed.
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