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Green patents in an oligopolistic market with green consumers 绿色消费者的寡头垄断市场中的绿色专利
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2026.103281
Corinne Langinier , Amrita RayChaudhuri
We analyze the impact of patent policies and emission taxes on green innovation. We allow for strategic interactions of firms in a duopolistic market in the presence of green-conscious consumers. We identify a paradoxical effect of increasing emission taxes beyond a certain threshold, which results in an increase in emissions. Decreasing patenting costs mitigates this paradox while the impact of tightening patentability requirements is more complex. Moreover, we show that the greater the proportion of green-conscious consumers, the less likely firms are totcilate license a green patent, which results in higher emissions levels at low tax levels. For an intermediate range of taxes, licensing does occur in equilibrium which lowers emissions. Finally, we find that while tax increases lead to a switch from overinvestment to underinvestment in the absence of green-conscious consumers, when the proportion of green-conscious consumers is sufficiently large, there is underinvestment at all tax levels.
我们分析了专利政策和排放税对绿色创新的影响。我们允许企业在有绿色意识的消费者存在的双寡头市场中进行战略互动。我们发现增加排放税超过一定阈值会导致排放量增加的矛盾效应。降低专利成本缓解了这一矛盾,而收紧可专利性要求的影响则更为复杂。此外,我们表明,绿色意识的消费者比例越大,企业就越不可能授权绿色专利,这导致低税收水平下的更高排放水平。对于中间范围的税收,许可确实在平衡中发生,从而降低排放。最后,我们发现,虽然在没有绿色意识消费者的情况下,税收增加会导致从过度投资到投资不足的转变,但当绿色意识消费者的比例足够大时,所有税收水平都存在投资不足。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change and population growth: A reassessment 气候变化与人口增长:重新评估
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2026.103282
Holger Strulik , Timo Trimborn
It is widely believed that population growth has a negative impact on global warming. Here, we set up an integrated assessment model (a simplified DICE model) and derive analytically a condition under which a higher world population causally leads to a lower long-run temperature increase under optimal carbon taxation. The condition is easily fulfilled for standard IAM parameters and is independent of the discount rate, the degree of utilitarianism in the objective function, the calibration of the emission and abatement technologies, and other economic parameters. We also show that at the steady state, a larger population implies higher social and individual welfare. We also investigate a refinement of the DICE approach that could mitigate or reverse the predicted negative effect of population growth on climate change.
人们普遍认为人口增长对全球变暖有负面影响。在此,我们建立了一个综合评估模型(简化的DICE模型),并分析得出了在最优碳税条件下,世界人口增加导致较低的长期温度升高的条件。该条件对于标准IAM参数来说很容易满足,并且与贴现率、目标函数中的功利主义程度、排放和减排技术的校准以及其他经济参数无关。我们还表明,在稳定状态下,更大的人口意味着更高的社会和个人福利。我们还研究了对DICE方法的改进,以减轻或扭转预测的人口增长对气候变化的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
European energy crisis: Did electricity prices shock real estate markets? 欧洲能源危机:电价冲击了房地产市场吗?
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2026.103283
Becka Brolinson , William M. Doerner , Arne Johan Pollestad , Michael J. Seiler
This paper investigates how the 2021–2022 European energy crisis, a major macro-financial shock, affected the relative valuation of energy-efficient homes in Norway. Leveraging the country’s electricity market—characterized by five distinct regions with varying exposure to European power prices—we analyze how energy price shocks influence housing market dynamics with a triple difference-in-differences regression framework. We find that home prices fell significantly in regions affected by the shock, with average value losses ranging from 1.2% to 3.6%. Energy-efficient homes experienced smaller price declines, particularly in the single-family home segment, indicating a differential price response during the shock. Moreover, the negative price effects persist despite the introduction of electricity price subsidies. These findings highlight the complex relations among energy costs, real estate market valuations, and housing characteristic heterogeneity by offering generalizable insights into the resilience of housing markets to unanticipated shocks and the role of policy interventions in mitigating their effects.
本文研究了2021-2022年欧洲能源危机(主要的宏观金融冲击)如何影响挪威节能住宅的相对估值。利用该国的电力市场——其特点是五个不同的地区对欧洲电价的影响不同——我们使用三差中差回归框架分析能源价格冲击如何影响住房市场动态。我们发现,在受冲击影响的地区,房价大幅下跌,平均价值损失在1.2%至3.6%之间。节能住宅的价格跌幅较小,特别是在单户住宅市场,这表明在冲击期间价格反应不同。此外,尽管引入了电价补贴,但负面的价格效应仍然存在。这些发现突出了能源成本、房地产市场估值和住房特征异质性之间的复杂关系,为住房市场抵御意外冲击的能力以及政策干预在减轻其影响方面的作用提供了可概括的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Physical climate risk and the pricing of bank loans 自然气候风险与银行贷款定价
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-12-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103280
Karol Kempa
This paper analyses how physical climate risk affects the pricing of loans. Using a global dataset of almost 86,000 syndicated bank loans, we find that a higher climate vulnerability of a firm’s host country leads to higher costs of borrowing. The effects of physical climate risk on loan pricing are particularly large if loans have long maturities and if borrowing firms are in financial distress. In addition to loan pricing, banks also adjust other loan terms, such as loan size, collateral requirements, or fees, to manage their exposure to their borrowers’ physical climate risk. As climate risk may also directly affect loan pricing, e.g., via general updates of credit risk models due to observed changes in climate risk, we extend the analysis to firm-level credit risk ratings. The results show that physical climate risk negatively affects long-term credit risk ratings, while it does not play a role in short-term credit risk, and hence support the proposed channel that physical climate risk affects loan pricing via its effect on firms’ default probabilities.
本文分析了物理气候风险对贷款定价的影响。利用全球近86000笔银团银行贷款的数据集,我们发现,企业所在国的气候脆弱性越高,其借款成本就越高。如果贷款期限较长,且借款公司处于财务困境,则自然气候风险对贷款定价的影响尤其大。除了贷款定价,银行还调整其他贷款条款,如贷款规模、抵押品要求或费用,以管理其对借款人实际气候风险的敞口。由于气候风险也可能直接影响贷款定价,例如,由于观察到气候风险的变化,通过对信用风险模型的一般更新,我们将分析扩展到公司层面的信用风险评级。结果表明,物理气候风险对长期信用风险评级有负向影响,而对短期信用风险没有影响,因此支持了物理气候风险通过对企业违约概率的影响影响贷款定价的渠道。
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引用次数: 0
How air pollution makes firms less innovative: Human capital and adaptive strategies 空气污染如何降低企业创新能力:人力资本和适应性策略
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-12-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103279
Tiago Cavalcanti , Kamiar Mohaddes , Hongyu Nian , Haitao Yin
This paper studies the long-term effects of air pollution on firms’ human capital accumulation and the adaptive strategies they adopt in response. Leveraging a spatial regression discontinuity (RD) design based on China’s Huai River heating policy and utilizing a novel dataset with detailed firm-level human capital information, we show that air pollution significantly reduces the share of R&D staff with advanced degrees, particularly PhD and master’s degrees. To offset these challenges, firms in more polluted regions increasingly turn to external strategies, such as acquiring technology and collaborating with universities, as well as internal measures, including expanding welfare subsidies for R&D staff and investing in experimental instruments. However, despite these adaptive efforts, firms in polluted areas still generate fewer innovations than their counterparts in cleaner regions. Overall, our findings highlight the role of internal human capital in sustaining innovative capacity.
本文研究了空气污染对企业人力资本积累的长期影响及其相应的适应性策略。利用基于中国淮河供暖政策的空间回归不连续(RD)设计,并利用包含企业层面详细人力资本信息的新数据集,我们发现空气污染显著降低了具有高级学位(尤其是博士和硕士学位)的研发人员的比例。为了抵消这些挑战,污染较严重地区的企业越来越多地转向外部战略,如获取技术和与大学合作,以及内部措施,包括扩大对研发人员的福利补贴和投资实验仪器。然而,尽管有这些适应性的努力,污染地区的公司仍然比清洁地区的同行产生更少的创新。总体而言,我们的研究结果突出了内部人力资本在维持创新能力方面的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Using satellite-observed geospatial inundation data to identify the impacts of floods on firm-level performance: The case of China during 2000–2009 利用卫星观测的地理空间淹没数据识别洪水对企业绩效的影响:以2000-2009年中国为例
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103276
Pao-Li Chang , Fan Zheng
This paper compiles high-resolution geospatial inundation areas of China for the period 2000–2009 based on satellite imagery repositories filtered by the Global Flood Database (GFD). In parallel, we geocode a comprehensive firm-level dataset of China and combine these two sets of geospatial data to identify the set of inundated firms in each year of flood events, as well as the distances of all non-inundated firms from the inundated areas. Given the high-resolution inundation data, we adopt a generalized dynamic-panel specification to estimate dynamic and spatial spillover effects of floods on firm-level production activities (including outputs, capital and labor inputs, and productivities). We find negative and persistent effects of floods on firm-level performance measures, and negative but short-run spillover effects on non-inundated firms in nearby neighborhoods. In contrast, non-inundated firms located 6–12 km away from the inundated area expanded their production in the long run, suggesting reallocation of production activities/facilities away from the inundation area toward the outer rings of the neighborhood. We conduct various robustness checks and extended analyses, identify moderating/aggravating factors of inundation impacts, assess the aggregate effects at the economy-wide, province, and sector levels, and quantify the propagation of flood exposures via the input–output linkages.
本文基于全球洪水数据库(GFD)过滤的卫星影像库,编制了2000-2009年中国高分辨率的地理空间淹没区。与此同时,我们对中国企业层面的综合数据集进行了地理编码,并将这两组地理空间数据结合起来,以确定每年洪水事件中被淹没的企业,以及所有未被淹没的企业与被淹没地区的距离。考虑到高分辨率的洪水数据,我们采用广义动态面板规范来估计洪水对企业层面生产活动(包括产出、资本和劳动力投入以及生产率)的动态和空间溢出效应。我们发现,洪水对企业绩效指标的负面和持续影响,以及对附近社区未被洪水淹没的企业的负面但短期的溢出效应。相比之下,距离淹没区6-12公里的未被淹没的公司从长远来看扩大了生产,这表明生产活动/设施从淹没区重新分配到附近的外环。我们进行了各种稳健性检查和扩展分析,确定了洪水影响的缓和/加剧因素,评估了整个经济、省份和行业层面的总体影响,并通过投入产出联系量化了洪水风险的传播。
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引用次数: 0
Split incentives and energy efficiency investment: Evidence from the housing market 分割激励和能源效率投资:来自房地产市场的证据
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103277
Erdal Aydin , Piet Eichholtz , Rogier Holtermans , Santiago Bohórquez Correa
Investments in energy efficiency in the built environment play a crucial role in global efforts to combat climate change. However, a significant obstacle to these investments arises from the differing incentives between landlords and tenants in the housing market. Landlords, who are typically not responsible for utility costs, may choose to invest less in energy efficiency improvements if these investments are not adequately reflected in rents. Our study provides empirical evidence of this market distortion, drawing on a comprehensive panel dataset from the Dutch housing market covering 3.8 million homes. We implement a quasi-experimental event study design that exploits transitions from rental to owner-occupied status while holding both the dwelling and the household constant. This identification strategy enables us to isolate changes in energy use attributable to tenure status. Our findings indicate a gradual decline in natural gas consumption following the transition to home-ownership, with an average reduction of about 2% that increases to as much as 5% nine years after the transition. In electricity consumption, split incentives are less important, given that tenants control the use and stock of their appliances, and we find no effect of changes in tenure status. Together, these findings provide empirical support for the relevance of tenure-based incentives in shaping energy-related decisions and can inform the design of targeted policies aimed at improving the energy performance of the rental housing stock.
建筑环境能效投资在全球应对气候变化的努力中发挥着至关重要的作用。然而,这些投资的一个重大障碍来自房地产市场上房东和租客之间不同的激励机制。业主通常不承担公用事业成本,如果这些投资没有充分反映在租金上,他们可能会选择减少对能效改进的投资。我们的研究提供了这种市场扭曲的经验证据,借鉴了荷兰住房市场覆盖380万户家庭的综合面板数据集。我们实施了一个准实验事件研究设计,利用从租赁到自住状态的转变,同时保持住宅和家庭不变。这种识别策略使我们能够分离出归属于权属状态的能源使用变化。我们的研究结果表明,在向自有住房过渡后,天然气消费量逐渐下降,平均下降约2%,在过渡后9年增加到5%。在电力消费方面,考虑到租户控制其电器的使用和库存,分割激励不那么重要,我们发现租户地位的变化没有影响。总之,这些发现为基于任期的激励在形成能源相关决策中的相关性提供了实证支持,并可以为旨在改善租赁住房存量能源绩效的有针对性政策的设计提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Heat, power outages, and mortality in the United States 美国的高温,停电和死亡率
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103275
Dan Ai , Christine L. Crago , Jamie T. Mullins
We examine the mortality impacts of exposures to high temperatures and power outages using a county-month data set in the United States from 2015 to 2019. We find that each additional hour of power outage leads to a 0.04% increase in the monthly mortality rate. Furthermore, we show that the mortality effects of hot days are exacerbated by the co-occurrence of power outages, with each hour of power outage on a hot day increasing the harm from the hot day by 61%. Widespread and long-lasting power outages during hot days have disproportionately large effects on mortality. We also show heterogeneity across climate regions in the estimated relationships, which is consistent with heavier reliance on technological adaptations to heat such as air conditioning in hotter climate regions. Taken together, our results suggest that the reliability of electricity grids serves as an important means of adaptation to high temperatures and climate change.
我们使用美国2015年至2019年的县月数据集研究了高温和停电对死亡率的影响。我们发现,每多停电一小时,每月死亡率就会增加0.04%。此外,我们发现炎热天气的死亡率效应会因同时停电而加剧,在炎热天气中每停电一个小时,炎热天气造成的伤害就会增加61%。在炎热的天气里,广泛而持久的停电对死亡率产生了不成比例的巨大影响。我们还在估计的关系中显示了不同气候区域的异质性,这与较热气候区域对热适应技术(如空调)的更大依赖是一致的。综上所述,我们的研究结果表明,电网的可靠性是适应高温和气候变化的重要手段。
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引用次数: 0
Might India’s use of groundwater be weakly sustainable? 印度对地下水的利用是否具有较弱的可持续性?
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103274
David Blakeslee , Mathilde Degois , Ram Fishman , Esha Zaveri
In many parts of the world, groundwater is being extracted at rates that exceed natural renewal rates, leading many experts to conclude that groundwater mining is an unsustainable strategy for rural development. However, groundwater extraction could still be considered to be ‘weakly sustainable’ if it generates investments in man-made capital that offset the loss of natural ‘groundwater capital’ and enable income to be sustained even as the resource is depleted. In this paper, we examine whether the withdrawals of groundwater for irrigation in India have resulted in household-level investments in physical and human capital. Our empirical strategy compares villages in the same administrative units that overlie aquifers with different water storage capacities and, therefore, endowed with different levels of access to the resource. We find that greater access to the resource results in more irrigation, as expected, as well as higher asset wealth and educational attainment. The results suggest that deeming India’s irrigation-based rural development as unsustainable purely because of the decline in water tables may require reconsideration, provided that human capital is used to productively shift income from farm to off-farm sources.
在世界许多地方,地下水的开采速度超过了自然更新速度,导致许多专家得出结论,地下水开采是农村发展的一种不可持续的战略。然而,如果地下水开采产生了对人为资本的投资,抵消了自然“地下水资本”的损失,即使在资源枯竭时也能维持收入,那么它仍然可以被认为是“弱可持续的”。在本文中,我们研究了印度抽取地下水用于灌溉是否导致了家庭层面的物质和人力资本投资。我们的经验策略比较了位于同一行政单位的村庄,这些村庄位于含水层上,具有不同的储水能力,因此具有不同的资源获取水平。我们发现,正如预期的那样,更多地获得资源会导致更多的灌溉,以及更高的资产财富和受教育程度。研究结果表明,仅仅因为地下水位下降而认为印度以灌溉为基础的农村发展是不可持续的,如果人力资本被用于有效地将收入从农业来源转移到非农来源,可能需要重新考虑。
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引用次数: 0
Feeling guilty, anxious or still hopeful? The role of distinct emotions in climate change mitigation behavior 感到内疚、焦虑还是仍然充满希望?不同情绪在减缓气候变化行为中的作用
IF 5.9 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103273
Myriam Bechtoldt , Carina Keller , Daniel Schunk , Isabell Zipperle
This study examines the role of experienced emotions in economic decision-making in the context of climate change. Using short video treatments in an experimental laboratory setting with 301 students, we successfully induce climate-related hope, anxiety, and guilt —emotions that are commonly addressed by NGOs to raise funds. We investigate the potential of our video treatments to affect one key dimension of climate change mitigation behavior: donations to NGOs engaging in CO2 emission reduction. In our experimental setting, we find that being in the guilt condition positively impacts donation behavior at the extensive margin, while being in the hope or anxiety condition negatively impacts donation behavior at the intensive margin. Experiencing anxiety, however, leads to a lower probability of donating larger amounts to spatially far away donation beneficiaries. Finally, we find that donating subsequently reduces guilt levels, indicating emotional relief. We argue that this finding aligns with theoretical considerations on the inclusion of emotions in the utility maximization framework.
本研究考察了气候变化背景下经验情绪在经济决策中的作用。在301名学生的实验环境中,我们使用短视频治疗,成功地诱导了与气候相关的希望、焦虑和内疚——这些情绪通常是非政府组织为筹集资金而处理的。我们调查了我们的视频治疗对气候变化缓解行为的一个关键方面的影响:对从事二氧化碳减排的非政府组织的捐款。在我们的实验设置中,我们发现内疚条件对广泛边际捐赠行为有正向影响,而希望或焦虑条件对密集边际捐赠行为有负向影响。然而,经历焦虑会导致向空间较远的捐赠受益人捐赠更多金额的可能性较低。最后,我们发现捐赠随后会减少内疚感,表明情绪得到缓解。我们认为,这一发现与将情感纳入效用最大化框架的理论考虑是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
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