汇款与不平等:元分析调查

Amar Anwar, Colin F. Mang, Sonia Plaza
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摘要

本文通过研究汇款与收款国不平等之间的关系,提供了一项全面的元分析,填补了文献中的一个重要空白。虽然已有大量实证研究探讨了这一关系,但此前还没有人尝试对证据进行系统、严谨的综合分析。本研究采用贝叶斯模型平均法等先进的元分析技术,分析了 45 项研究报告中的 578 个估计值。总的结论是,汇款对不平等的影响是负面的,但在经济上很小。然而,各地区之间存在很大差异,在南亚,侨汇导致不平等加剧,而在东亚、东欧和拉丁美洲,侨汇则具有大幅减少不平等的作用。在中东和北非以及撒哈拉以南非洲,汇款只产生了微不足道的经济影响。我们建议,今后的研究应控制教育程度、收入水平和机构质量,以提高估算的准确性。
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Remittances and inequality: A meta‐analytic investigation
This article provides a comprehensive meta‐analysis that addresses an important gap in the literature by examining the relationship between remittances and inequality in recipient countries. While numerous empirical studies have explored this relationship, there has been no prior attempt to systematically and rigorously synthesise the evidence. This study employs advanced meta‐analysis techniques, such as Bayesian model averaging, to analyse 578 estimates reported in 45 studies. The overall finding is that the effect of remittances on inequality is negative but economically small. However, significant regional variations exist, with remittances contributing to increased inequality in South Asia, while having a substantial inequality‐reducing effect in East Asia, Eastern Europe and Latin America. In the Middle East and North Africa and Sub‐Saharan Africa, only marginal economic impact is found. We recommend that future studies should control for educational attainment, income level and institutional quality to improve the accuracy of their estimates.
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