向碳中和经济过渡:机遇与局限,当前的挑战

IF 0.9 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Thermal Engineering Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI:10.1134/S0040601524010038
S. P. Filippov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要 气候政策正逐渐成为世界的主导,并开始决定全球经济和能源的长期发展前景。遏制全球气温上升的问题是全球性的,因此,必须以全球经济和能源部门最能接受的方式减少人为活动产生的温室气体排放。世界各国的经济结构和能源资源禀赋各不相同,因此向碳中和经济过渡的最佳途径也大相径庭。文章讨论了经济去碳化的以下技术方向:加强能源保护,包括能源的生产、转化、运输和消费;改变燃料结构,用天然气取代煤炭,使其向低碳燃料倾斜;用碳中性生物质取代化石燃料;在能源和工业设施中捕获二氧化碳,并进行后续运输和处置;扩大核能的使用;向使用无碳可再生能源过渡。针对每一个领域,都确定了它们对实现经济碳中和的潜在贡献,以及在实施过程中的现有限制。研究是针对俄罗斯的经济和能源部门进行的,俄罗斯是世界上最大的化石有机燃料消费国和出口国之一。研究表明,向碳中性经济的过渡必须是复杂的,必须通过各种技术解决方案的组合来实现。由于技术和经济方面的原因,在 2060 年之前在该国实施 "电力世界 "概念(即使用在无碳基础上生产的电力来满足所有基本能源需求)几乎是不可能的,因此在此期间使用化石有机燃料仍将不可避免。与此同时,还必须解决二氧化碳捕获和处理的组织问题。
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Transition to a Carbon Neutral Economy: Opportunities and Limitations, Current Challenges

Climate policy is gradually becoming dominant in the world and is beginning to decisively determine the long-term prospects for the development of the global economy and energy. The problem of curbing the rise in global temperature is global; therefore, reducing greenhouse gas emissions as a result of anthropogenic activities must be carried out in the most acceptable way for the global economy and energy sector. The optimal paths for countries around the world to transition to a carbon-neutral economy will vary significantly since they have different economic structures and endowments of energy resources. The article discusses the following technological directions of decarbonization of the economy: intensification of energy conservation, including production, transformation, transportation, and consumption of energy; changing the fuel structure in favor of low-carbon fuels by replacing coal with natural gas; replacing fossil fuels with carbon-neutral biomass; CO2 capture in energy and industrial installations with its subsequent transportation and disposal; expanding the use of nuclear energy; and transition to the use of carbon-free renewable energy resources. For each of these areas, the potential for their contribution to achieving carbon neutrality in the economy and the existing restrictions on their implementation are identified. The research was carried out in relation to the economy and energy sector of Russia, which is one of the largest consumers and exporters of fossil organic fuels in the world. It is shown that the transition to a carbon-neutral economy must be complex and carried out through a combination of various technological solutions. The implementation of the “electric world” concept in the country, in which all basic energy needs will be met by using electricity produced on a carbon-free basis, until 2060 is hardly possible for technological and economic reasons, so the use of fossil organic fuels during this period will remain inevitable. At the same time, the issue of organizing the capture and disposal of CO2 must be resolved.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
20.00%
发文量
94
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