Jesus Barreiro-Hurle, Thomas Fellmann, Robert M'barek
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引用次数: 0
摘要
摘要 农业经济模型领域的研究是联合研究中心(JRC)为欧盟制定更好的农业食品政策做出的重要贡献之一。本文概述了联合研究中心综合农业经济建模平台自 2005 年建立以来的发展情况。我们重点介绍了对政策分析的主要贡献,并详细描述了两个关键领域,即提供农产品市场中期预测和分析各种 CAP 提案。此外,我们还介绍了平台内各个模型能力的逐步扩展,以涵盖传统农业经济以外的方面,并将环境因素纳入其中。模型集成仍然是平台内不同层次和规模的重点,也是与生物物理模型相结合的重点。这一点以及纳入其他经济分析领域的知识对于把握不断变化的政策目标至关重要。
Modelling in Support of Better Agricultural and Food Policies: the JRC's Integrated Agro-economic Modelling platform (iMAP)
Modélisation à l'appui de meilleures politiques agricoles et alimentaires : la plateforme de modélisation agroéconomique intégrée (iMAP) du Centre commun de recherche (JRC)
Modellierung zur Unterstützung einer besseren Agrar- und Ernährungspolitik: die Plattform für integrierte agrarökonomische Modellierung (iMAP) des JRC
Research in the area of agro-economic modelling has been one of the key contributions of the Joint Research Centre (JRC) to the development of better agri-food policies in the EU. This article provides an overview of the development of the JRC's integrated agro-economic modelling platform since its establishment in 2005. We highlight the main contributions to policy analysis and describe in detail two key areas, namely the provision of medium-term projections for agricultural markets and the analysis of various CAP proposals. Furthermore, we describe the gradual shift to expand the capabilities of individual models within the platform to encompass aspects beyond traditional agro-economic aspects and incorporate environmental considerations. Model integration remains a focus both within the platform at different levels and scales, and in conjunction with biophysical models. This, together with incorporating knowledge from other fields of economic analysis is fundamental to capture changing policy objectives.
期刊介绍:
EuroChoices is a full colour, peer reviewed, outreach journal of topical European agri-food and rural resource issues, published three times a year in April, August and December. Its main aim is to bring current research and policy deliberations on agri-food and rural resource issues to a wide readership, both technical & non-technical. The need for this is clear - there are great changes afoot in the European and global agri-food industries and rural areas, which are of enormous impact and concern to society. The issues which underlie present deliberations in the policy and private sectors are complex and, until now, normally expressed in impenetrable technical language.