尼日利亚河流州州长选举中的不安全因素与选民投票率

Joseph Paulinus Ekong
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摘要

自 1999 年以来,里弗斯州的选举(尤其是州长选举)的选民投票率一直呈下降曲线。因此,本研究探讨了不安全因素对 1999 年至 2023 年河流州州长选举投票率的影响。研究的具体目标是:检查选举期间的不安全状况,评估不安全状况对 1999 年以来河流州选举的影响。本研究采用了 "结构功能主义 "理论框架来分析本研究中的变量(不安全因素、选民投票率和选举)。本文采用了定性研究设计方法,包括使用二手数据收集来源,以及使用图表、简单百分比和表格分析生成的数据。主要研究结果是:自 1999 年以来,里弗斯州选举的特点是不安全,由于里弗斯州的不安全,选民投票率下降;与选举有关的不安全通常是由绝望的政治阶层成员与国家和非国家安全行为者勾结造成的。为解决这一问题,研究报告提出了一系列建议,其中包括:成立选举犯罪委员会,加大反选举暴力宣传力度,在选民登记册中取消选举不安全行为实施者的登记,终身禁止罪犯参与政治活动等。
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Insecurity and Voter Turnout in Governorship Elections in Rivers State, Nigeria
Elections (especially Governorship elections) in Rivers State since 1999 have continued to experience declining curve of voter turnout. Therefore, this study interrogated the effect of insecurity on voter turnout in Rivers State gubernatorial elections from 1999 to 2023. The specific objectives of the study were to; examine the state of insecurity during elections and assess the impact of insecurity on the conduct of elections in Rivers State since 1999. The ‘Structural Functionalism’ theoretical framework was employed in analysing the variables (insecurity, voter turnout, and elections) contained in this work. The qualitative research design method was employed in this paper involving the use of secondary sources of data collection while graphs, charts, simple percentages and tables were used in analysing the generated data. The major research findings were that; elections in Rivers State since 1999 have been characterized by insecurity, declining level of voter turnout due to insecurity in Rivers State; and election-related insecurity is usually caused by desperate members of the political class in connivance with both the State and non-state security actors. In addressing this, the study proposed a number of recommendations including the following; establishment of election offences commission, scaling up of anti-electoral violence advocacy, de-registration of perpetuators of elections insecurity in the voters’ register, and life ban on convicts from political participation, among others.
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