Badreldin Mohamed Ahmed Abdulrahman, Anas Gareeballah Ahmed Ibrahim, Hashim Abdallah Adam Dawalbait
{"title":"利用非线性自回归模型研究对外贸易对苏丹经济增长的影响","authors":"Badreldin Mohamed Ahmed Abdulrahman, Anas Gareeballah Ahmed Ibrahim, Hashim Abdallah Adam Dawalbait","doi":"10.37394/23207.2024.21.60","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Foreign commerce is the term for the exchange of goods and services between nations, and it is subject to a wide range of laws, rules, and agreements. The purpose of the study was to evaluate the link between Sudan's economic growth, imports, and exports from 2005 to 2022. Based on a descriptive, analytical, and econometrics methodology, the study estimated the relationship between the study variables using a nonlinear autoregressive model (NARDL). The study's conclusions indicate that, during the study period, exports had a short-term negative influence on the rate of growth in the economy but a positive long-term impact. Additionally, imports have a short-term favorable effect on economic growth rates but a long-term negative one.","PeriodicalId":510668,"journal":{"name":"WSEAS TRANSACTIONS ON BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS","volume":"112 15","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Using Nonlinear Autoregressive Models to Investigate the Impact of Foreign Trade on Economic Growth in Sudan\",\"authors\":\"Badreldin Mohamed Ahmed Abdulrahman, Anas Gareeballah Ahmed Ibrahim, Hashim Abdallah Adam Dawalbait\",\"doi\":\"10.37394/23207.2024.21.60\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Foreign commerce is the term for the exchange of goods and services between nations, and it is subject to a wide range of laws, rules, and agreements. The purpose of the study was to evaluate the link between Sudan's economic growth, imports, and exports from 2005 to 2022. Based on a descriptive, analytical, and econometrics methodology, the study estimated the relationship between the study variables using a nonlinear autoregressive model (NARDL). The study's conclusions indicate that, during the study period, exports had a short-term negative influence on the rate of growth in the economy but a positive long-term impact. Additionally, imports have a short-term favorable effect on economic growth rates but a long-term negative one.\",\"PeriodicalId\":510668,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"WSEAS TRANSACTIONS ON BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS\",\"volume\":\"112 15\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-03-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"WSEAS TRANSACTIONS ON BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.37394/23207.2024.21.60\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"WSEAS TRANSACTIONS ON BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.37394/23207.2024.21.60","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Using Nonlinear Autoregressive Models to Investigate the Impact of Foreign Trade on Economic Growth in Sudan
Foreign commerce is the term for the exchange of goods and services between nations, and it is subject to a wide range of laws, rules, and agreements. The purpose of the study was to evaluate the link between Sudan's economic growth, imports, and exports from 2005 to 2022. Based on a descriptive, analytical, and econometrics methodology, the study estimated the relationship between the study variables using a nonlinear autoregressive model (NARDL). The study's conclusions indicate that, during the study period, exports had a short-term negative influence on the rate of growth in the economy but a positive long-term impact. Additionally, imports have a short-term favorable effect on economic growth rates but a long-term negative one.