城市的吸引力可能不会因为 COVID-19 的流行和远程工作而减弱

IF 9.1 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES npj urban sustainability Pub Date : 2024-03-14 DOI:10.1038/s42949-024-00151-2
Ayyoob Sharifi, Chui Ying Lee
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在 COVID-19 大流行的影响下,关于大城市衰落的猜测激增,有研究指出全球不同城市的人口暂时减少。然而,研究很少涉及大流行病对城市生活观念的持久影响。目前的文献主要集中在比较大流行期间和之前的居住偏好变化,而不是探讨中长期的影响。为了填补这一空白,我们进行了一次随机联合实验,仔细研究了大流行病对东京都居住偏好和居住态度的改变。实验情景包括可能再次发生大流行病的提醒和远程办公选择。尽管情景和调查参与者的社会人口特征各不相同,但总体而言,结果显示 COVID-19 大流行和远程工作的激增并没有削弱东京的吸引力,这意味着城市衰落的可能性很低。这些结果倡导紧凑型城市发展,以增强抵御气候变化等即将到来的压力的能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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The appeal of cities may not wane due to the COVID-19 pandemic and remote working
Amidst the COVID-19 pandemic, speculations on the decline of major cities have surged, with studies noting temporary population decreases across various cities worldwide. However, research scarcely addresses the pandemic’s enduring influence on perceptions of city living. Rather than exploring mid- to long-term impacts, current literature focuses mainly on comparing changes in residential preferences during and before the pandemic. To fill this gap, we conducted a randomized conjoint experiment to scrutinize altered residential preferences and attitudes toward residing in the Tokyo Metropolis due to the pandemic. Scenarios encompassed reminders of potential pandemic re-occurrence and teleworking options. Despite variations depending on the scenarios and socio-demographic characteristics of the survey participants, overall, results show that the COVID-19 pandemic and the surge in remote working did not diminish the allure of Tokyo, implying a low probability of an urban decline. These outcomes advocate for compact urban development to bolster resilience against forthcoming stressors like climate change.
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