贸易中的标准和非关税壁垒--南亚案例研究

IF 5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-03-12 DOI:10.1016/j.strueco.2024.03.002
Hamid Haroon Ur-Rashid , Muhammad Aamir Khan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

南亚自由贸易区(SAFTA)并不是一个成功的故事。南亚在地理上相互连接,但一体化程度很低,外向型贸易占 90% 以上,这就是南亚的情况。当然,军事和政治紧张局势是主要障碍。然而,最近的数据和研究表明,繁琐的手续、无情的非关税措施(NTMs)应用和限制是该地区贸易面临的最大挑战。非关税措施对公共卫生和环境非常重要,但如果通过双边或多边协定相互承认这些标准,就可以避免繁琐冗长的程序。这是本研究调查和验证的基本假设。研究以四个经济体(孟加拉国、印度、巴基斯坦和斯里兰卡)为对象,分两步进行:首先,计算非关税措施的从价等值(AVEs),然后将其纳入基于全球贸易分析项目(GTAP)的扩展 CGE 模型。模拟结果表明,如果标准得到相互承认,那么所有国家都将受益,区域内贸易和福利都将增加。研究建议,南亚自由贸易区应着手建立这样一种机制,使成员国能够承认出口国批准的证书和测试。此外,在今后的谈判中还应讨论港口限制和准关税问题。
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Standards and non-tariff barriers in trade – A case study of South Asia

SAFTA (South Asian Free Trade Area) is not a success story. Geographically connected, but highly dis-integrated, with more than 90 % outward-oriented trade, this is the case of South Asia. Of course, military, and political tensions are the major obstacles. However, recent data and studies show that cumbersome procedures, ruthless application of NTMs (Non-Tariff Measures) and restrictions are the biggest challenges for trade in the region. NTMs are important for public health and the environment but if such standards are mutually recognized through bilateral or multilateral agreements then the hectic and lengthy procedures can be avoided. This is the basic hypothesis investigated and checked in this research. Taking four economies, (Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, and SriLanka) two-step process is adopted; firstly, AVEs (Ad Valorem Equivalents) of NTMs are calculated and then incorporated in an extended GTAP (Global Trade Analysis Project) based CGE model. Simulation results suggest that if standards are mutually recognized then all countries will be better off, intra-regional trade and welfare will increase. The study recommends that SAFTA should proceed to establish such a mechanism that enables member countries to recognize the certificates and tests approved by the exporting countries. Further, Port restrictions and the issue of para-tariffs should be discussed in future negotiations.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.60
自引率
4.90%
发文量
159
期刊介绍: Structural Change and Economic Dynamics publishes articles about theoretical, applied and methodological aspects of structural change in economic systems. The journal publishes work analysing dynamics and structural breaks in economic, technological, behavioural and institutional patterns.
期刊最新文献
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