社会人群的宏观建模

Livio Gibelli, Damián A. Knopoff, Jie Liao, Wenbin Yan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人群中的社会行为,如群居或增加人际间距,是由行人的心理状态驱动的。当前的宏观人群模型假定这些状态是静态的,从而限制了模型捕捉不断变化的心理状态与界定 "社会人群 "的集体人群动态之间复杂的相互作用的能力。本文引入了一种新方法,将 "活动 "变量明确纳入建模框架,该变量代表行人不断变化的心理状态,并与人群动态相关联。为了证明 "活动 "的作用,我们模拟了当 "活动 "变量捕捉到压力和传染意识时的行人撤离情况。此外,为了突出活动动态变化的重要性,我们还研究了突发事件导致必须选择其他出口的情景。这些案例研究表明,活动在塑造人群行为方面起着关键作用。因此,所提出的建模方法为更真实的宏观人群描述开辟了道路,对人群管理具有实际意义。
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Macroscopic modeling of social crowds

Social behavior in crowds, such as herding or increased interpersonal spacing, is driven by the psychological states of pedestrians. Current macroscopic crowd models assume that these are static, limiting the ability of models to capture the complex interplay between evolving psychology and collective crowd dynamics that defines a “social crowd”. This paper introduces a novel approach by explicitly incorporating an “activity” variable into the modeling framework, which represents the evolving psychological states of pedestrians and is linked to crowd dynamics. To demonstrate the role of activity, we model pedestrian egress when this variable captures stress and awareness of contagion. In addition, to highlight the importance of dynamic changes in activity, we examine a scenario in which an unexpected incident necessitates alternative exits. These case studies demonstrate that activity plays a pivotal role in shaping crowd behavior. The proposed modeling approach thus opens avenues for more realistic macroscopic crowd descriptions with practical implications for crowd management.

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