使用以社会经济因素为重点的模糊层次分析法和模糊 VIKOR 法开发核电厂选址的多标准决策模型

IF 5.3 Q2 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL Cleaner Engineering and Technology Pub Date : 2024-03-16 DOI:10.1016/j.clet.2024.100737
Rida SN. Mahmudah , Dea Inanda Putri , Ade Gafar Abdullah , Mohammad Ali Shafii , Dadang Lukman Hakim , Topan Setiadipura
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引用次数: 0

摘要

作为全球第四大人口大国,印度尼西亚正在探索建造核电站(NPP)这一可持续能源解决方案。这一举措的关键步骤是选择合适的核电站厂址。本研究采用了两种多标准决策(MCDM)方法,即模糊层次分析法(Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process,FHP)和模糊 VIKOR,以社会经济因素为重点,确定最适合建造核电站的地点。利用模糊-AHP 方法对以下十个子标准进行优先排序:输电网络、运营成本、经济影响、安全、交通网络、法律考虑、旅游影响、土地所有权、历史遗迹和公众接受度。随后,模糊 VIKOR 方法利用这些优先标准对两个潜在地点进行评估:东加里曼丹和西加里曼丹。分析结果显示,安全、传输和交通网络成为最优先考虑的因素。应用模糊 VIKOR 算法确定西加里曼丹为建设核电厂的最佳地点,其较低的 VIKOR 指数(0.3599)证明了这一点,表明基于评估标准的总体偏好度较高。这项研究表明,将模糊-AHP 和模糊 VIKOR 方法结合起来,可以确定关键社会经济因素的优先次序,并对潜在厂址进行定量评估,从而为核电厂选址决策提供系统、客观的支持。
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Developing a Multi-Criteria Decision-Making model for nuclear power plant location selection using Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process and Fuzzy VIKOR methods focused on socio-economic factors

In response to its position as the fourth most populous country globally, Indonesia is exploring constructing nuclear power plants (NPPs) as a sustainable energy solution. A pivotal step in this initiative is selecting an appropriate NPP site. This study employs two Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) methods, the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (Fuzzy-AHP) and Fuzzy VIKOR, to identify the most suitable location for an NPP, focusing on socio-economic factors. The Fuzzy-AHP method is utilized to prioritize ten sub-criteria: transmission network, operating costs, economic impact, security, transportation network, legal considerations, the impact of tourism, land ownership, historical sites, and public acceptance. Following this, the Fuzzy VIKOR method leverages these prioritized criteria to evaluate two potential sites: East Kalimantan and West Kalimantan. The analysis reveals that security, transmission, and transportation networks emerge as the top priorities. The application of the Fuzzy VIKOR algorithm identifies West Kalimantan as the optimal site for NPP construction, evidenced by its lower VIKOR index of 0.3599, indicating a higher overall preference based on the evaluated criteria. The study demonstrates that the integration of Fuzzy-AHP and Fuzzy VIKOR methods prioritizes critical socio-economic factors and quantitatively assesses potential sites, offering a systematic and objective approach to support decision-making in NPP site selection.

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来源期刊
Cleaner Engineering and Technology
Cleaner Engineering and Technology Engineering-Engineering (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
9.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
218
审稿时长
21 weeks
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