改变美津关系现状

Q3 Social Sciences Orbis Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1016/j.orbis.2024.02.003
Charles A. Ray, Michael Walsh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自 1980 年获得独立并从罗得西亚更名为津巴布韦以来,这个南部非洲国家一直饱受政治暴力和经济不稳定的困扰。主要来自执政党津巴布韦非洲民族联盟-爱国阵线(ZANU-PF)的官员腐败无能,导致通货膨胀肆虐,进而演变成恶性通货膨胀,破坏了曾经繁荣的经济。在经历了 2009 年至 2016 年的相对经济稳定期后,经济似乎再次陷入低谷。2017 年推翻长期领导人罗伯特-穆加贝(Robert Mugabe)一开始被视为迎来了一个新时代,但 2018 年和 2023 年的选举却因官方恐吓和腐败而漏洞百出。美国无法对津巴布韦的未来轨迹产生重大影响。然而,在当前的全球背景下,美国应该采取更加清醒的态度,尽其所能。至少,这需要制定一个现实的战略计划,而这反过来又需要做出重要的战略选择,包括在美津关系中寻求的制胜愿望是什么。
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Changing the Status Quo in US-Zimbabwe Relations

Since gaining independence in 1980 and changing its name from Rhodesia to Zimbabwe, this southern African nation has been plagued with political violence and economic instability. Corrupt and incompetent officials, mostly from the ruling ZANU-PF party, have caused bouts of rampant inflation which turned into hyperinflation, wrecking what had once been a thriving economy. After a period of relative economic stability from 2009 to 2016, the economy appears once again to be in a tailspin. The overthrow of long-time leader Robert Mugabe in 2017 was seen initially as ushering in a new era, but elections in 2018 and 2023—were flawed by official intimidation and corruption. The United States is not positioned to have a significant impact on Zimbabwe’s future trajectory. However, it should take a more clear-eyed approach to do what little it can given the current global context. At a minimum, this requires the production of a realistic strategic plan, which in turn requires important strategic choices to be made, including what is the winning aspiration being sought in US-Zimbabwe relations.

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来源期刊
Orbis
Orbis SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
37 days
期刊介绍: Orbis, the Foreign Policy Research Institute quarterly journal of world affairs, was founded in 1957 as a forum for policymakers, scholars, and the informed public who sought an engaging, thought-provoking debate beyond the predictable, conventional journals of that time. Nearly half a century later, Orbis continues to offer informative, insightful, and lively discourse on the full range of topics relating to American foreign policy and national security, as well as in-depth analysis on important international developments. Orbis readers always know the stories behind the headlines.
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